Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt is on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund); Sven Jablonski takes charge. We think Borussia Dortmund (64%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 18 points after 8 matches (5W 3D 0L), whereas Eintracht Frankfurt are 8th with 11 points (3W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Borussia Dortmund have scored 1.8 and conceded 0.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Eintracht Frankfurt average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Borussia Dortmund: 4W 2D 0L, goals 11–4; Eintracht Frankfurt: 2W 2D 2L, goals 10–16.
- Head to head. In their 34 meetings so far, Borussia Dortmund have 20 wins, Eintracht Frankfurt have 6 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 75–42.
What to expect
Borussia Dortmund should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 34; Borussia Dortmund 20 wins, 8 draws, Eintracht Frankfurt 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Borussia Dortmund 11–4, Eintracht Frankfurt 10–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Absent: Borussia Dortmund 5, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Borussia Dortmund are missing: E. Can, K. Karetsas, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma, K. Prates. Eintracht Frankfurt are without: J. Ngankam, M. Pimpong. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.55 | 5.18 | 5.84 |
| Market average | 1.49 | 4.97 | 5.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.35 | 69.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.11 | 30.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.92 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.60 | 35.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 14:23. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Borussia Dortmund 2nd (18 points), Eintracht Frankfurt 8th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Borussia Dortmund 4W 2D 0L (11:4), Eintracht Frankfurt 2W 2D 2L (10:16).
- H2H: 34 matches: Borussia Dortmund 20W 8D 6L, goals 75–42.
- Absences: Borussia Dortmund 5, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: who is missing
Borussia Dortmund
- E. Canknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Karetsasankle injury · will miss the match
- G. Konstanteliasknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Lermamuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Pratesmuscle injury · will miss the match
Eintracht Frankfurt
- J. Ngankamhamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Pimpongmuscle injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Borussia Dortmund
Home and away
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: head to head
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Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our result tip is Borussia Dortmund to win (odds 1.55), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Borussia Dortmund or draw (1X).
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our probabilities: Borussia Dortmund to win 64%, a draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt to win 17%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Referee: Sven Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
Borussia Dortmund: E. Can, K. Karetsas, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma, K. Prates. Eintracht Frankfurt: J. Ngankam, M. Pimpong. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.37); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.4%); after that come 1–1 (7.9%) and 2–0 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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