Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rouen v Concarneau is on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen). We think Rouen (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Rouen vs Concarneau: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rouen are 2nd with 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), whereas Concarneau are 7th with 17 points (4W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Rouen have scored 1.8 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Concarneau average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rouen: 6W 2D 2L, goals 18–8; Concarneau: 4W 5D 1L, goals 13–9.
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Rouen have 2 wins, Concarneau have 0 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–5.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Rouen 2 wins, 3 draws, Concarneau 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rouen 18–8, Concarneau 13–9.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rouen are missing: no absences. Concarneau are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rouen vs Concarneau: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.88 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.24 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.89 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.34 | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.62 | 25.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.88 | 48.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.83 | 1.80 | 51.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rouen 1–1 Concarneau, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rouen 2nd (23 points), Concarneau 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Rouen 6W 2D 2L (18:8), Concarneau 4W 5D 1L (13:9).
- H2H: 5 matches: Rouen 2W 3D 0L, goals 7–5.
- Absences: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.
Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rouen vs Concarneau: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rouen vs Concarneau: who is missing
Rouen
- No reported absences
Concarneau
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rouen vs Concarneau: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 | Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rouen
Home and away
Rouen vs Concarneau: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RouenWLWLWConcarneauLDWDWRouen vs Concarneau: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rouen vs Concarneau: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rouen vs Concarneau?
Draw or Concarneau (X2) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.74).
Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?
Our probabilities: Rouen to win 46%, a draw 28%, Concarneau to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen.
Who will be missing?
Rouen: no absences. Concarneau: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.12); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 2.00).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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