Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 are at home to RB Leipzig on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at VELTINS-Arena (Gelsenkirchen), with Max Burda as the referee. Our favourites are RB Leipzig (51%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Schalke 04 are 17th with 6 points after 8 matches (1W 3D 4L), whereas RB Leipzig are 4th with 15 points (5W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. FC Schalke 04 have scored 0.6 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; RB Leipzig average 2.9 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Schalke 04: 1W 3D 3L, goals 4–7; RB Leipzig: 4W 0D 3L, goals 20–11.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, FC Schalke 04 have 2 wins, RB Leipzig have 9 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 11–32.
What to expect
RB Leipzig should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; FC Schalke 04 2 wins, 2 draws, RB Leipzig 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Schalke 04 4–7, RB Leipzig 20–11.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: FC Schalke 04 7, RB Leipzig 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Schalke 04 are missing: J. Bachmann, S. El-Faouzi, A. Gantenbein, R. Gosens, M. Sylla, L. Vozar, M. Wober. RB Leipzig are without: M. Esteve, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.07 | 4.11 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 3.89 | 3.84 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.29 | 3.58 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Schalke 04 1–1 RB Leipzig, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Schalke 04 17th (6 points), RB Leipzig 4th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Schalke 04 1W 3D 3L (4:7), RB Leipzig 4W 0D 3L (20:11).
- H2H: 13 matches: FC Schalke 04 2W 2D 9L, goals 11–32.
- Absences: FC Schalke 04 7, RB Leipzig 3.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: who is missing
FC Schalke 04
- J. Bachmannhip injury · will miss the match
- S. El-Faouziabsence · will miss the match
- A. Gantenbeinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Gosensabsence · will miss the match
- M. Syllaabsence · will miss the match
- L. Vozarillness · will miss the match
- M. Wobermuscle injury · will miss the match
RB Leipzig
- M. Esteveknock · will miss the match
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Schalke 04
Home and away
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC Schalke 04LDLLDRB LeipzigWWLWLFC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Our result tip is RB Leipzig to win (odds 1.93), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or RB Leipzig (X2).
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Our probabilities: FC Schalke 04 to win 24%, a draw 25%, RB Leipzig to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen. Referee: Max Burda.
Who will be missing?
FC Schalke 04: J. Bachmann, S. El-Faouzi, A. Gantenbein, R. Gosens, M. Sylla, L. Vozar, M. Wober. RB Leipzig: M. Esteve, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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