Panathinaikos meet CSKA Sofia on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens). Panathinaikos (61%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Panathinaikos are 1st with 6 points after 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), whereas CSKA Sofia are 23rd with 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Panathinaikos have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; CSKA Sofia average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Panathinaikos: 5W 3D 0L, goals 18–10; CSKA Sofia: 0W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
What to expect
Panathinaikos should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Panathinaikos 18–10, CSKA Sofia 3–4.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Panathinaikos 0, CSKA Sofia 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.71). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Panathinaikos are missing: no absences. CSKA Sofia are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.60 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.54 | 4.22 | 5.44 |
| Lowest odds | 1.47 | 3.80 | 4.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.18 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.60 | 35.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 46.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Panathinaikos 2–0 CSKA Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Panathinaikos 1st (6 points), CSKA Sofia 23rd (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Panathinaikos 5W 3D 0L (18:10), CSKA Sofia 0W 1D 1L (3:4).
- Absences: Panathinaikos 0, CSKA Sofia 0.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: who is missing
Panathinaikos
- No reported absences
CSKA Sofia
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Panathinaikos
Home and away
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Panathinaikos -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Our probabilities: Panathinaikos to win 61%, a draw 22%, CSKA Sofia to win 17%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens.
Who will be missing?
Panathinaikos: no absences. CSKA Sofia: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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