Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Pisa v Palermo is on 28 October 2026 · 18:00 at Arena Garibaldi (Pizza); Daniele Chiffi takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Pisa vs Palermo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Pisa are 8th with 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), whereas Palermo are 1st with 26 points (8W 2D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Pisa have scored 1.9 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Palermo average 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Pisa: 4W 2D 2L, goals 15–10; Palermo: 7W 1D 0L, goals 18–8.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Pisa have 4 wins, Palermo have 1 win and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–14.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Palermo are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Pisa 4 wins, 3 draws, Palermo 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Pisa 15–10, Palermo 18–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Pisa are missing: no absences. Palermo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Pisa vs Palermo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.34 | 3.38 | 3.21 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.32 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.68 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.37 | 39.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Pisa 1–1 Palermo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Pisa 8th (15 points), Palermo 1st (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Pisa 4W 2D 2L (15:10), Palermo 7W 1D 0L (18:8).
- H2H: 8 matches: Pisa 4W 3D 1L, goals 22–14.
- Absences: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Pisa vs Palermo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Pisa vs Palermo: who is missing
Pisa
- No reported absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Pisa vs Palermo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Pisa
Home and away
Pisa vs Palermo: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PisaLDDWWPalermoWDWWWPisa vs Palermo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Pisa vs Palermo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Pisa vs Palermo?
Over 2.5 goals (1.76); Pisa or draw (1X) (1.40).
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
Our probabilities: Pisa to win 41%, a draw 28%, Palermo to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Arena Garibaldi, Pizza. Referee: Daniele Chiffi.
Who will be missing?
Pisa: no absences. Palermo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.76); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.