Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Örgryte IS meet Mjällby AIF on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Gamla Ullevi (Gothenburg), refereed by Sajad Al Hakim. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Örgryte IS are 15th with 19 points after 27 matches (4W 7D 16L), whereas Mjällby AIF are 12th with 27 points (6W 9D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Örgryte IS have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Mjällby AIF average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Örgryte IS: 4W 7D 14L, goals 31–56; Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 12L, goals 28–42.
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Örgryte IS have 1 win, Mjällby AIF have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–8.
What to expect
Mjällby AIF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Örgryte IS 1 win, 1 draw, Mjällby AIF 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Örgryte IS 31–56, Mjällby AIF 28–42.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Örgryte IS 4, Mjällby AIF 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.79). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Örgryte IS are missing: A. Abukar, R. Alm, W. Svensson, J. Tibbling. Mjällby AIF are without: V. Dalsgaard, T. Stavitski. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.27 | 3.54 | 2.29 |
| Market average | 3.11 | 3.42 | 2.18 |
| Lowest odds | 2.81 | 3.16 | 2.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.84 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 48.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.37 | 3.07 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.79 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Örgryte IS 1–1 Mjällby AIF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Örgryte IS 15th (19 points), Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Örgryte IS 4W 7D 14L (31:56), Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 12L (28:42).
- H2H: 5 matches: Örgryte IS 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–8.
- Absences: Örgryte IS 4, Mjällby AIF 2.
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: who is missing
Örgryte IS
- A. Abukarknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Alminjury · will miss the match
- W. Svenssonfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Tibblingmuscle injury · doubtful
Mjällby AIF
- V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
- T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 | Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Örgryte IS
Home and away
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Örgryte ISLLDWLMjällby AIFDWLLDÖrgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: head to head
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Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Our result tip is Draw or Mjällby AIF (X2) (odds 1.39), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.79). The safer pick is Draw or Mjällby AIF (X2).
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Our probabilities: Örgryte IS to win 30%, a draw 27%, Mjällby AIF to win 43%.
What time and where is kick-off?
29 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. Referee: Sajad Al Hakim.
Who will be missing?
Örgryte IS: A. Abukar, R. Alm, W. Svensson, J. Tibbling. Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, T. Stavitski. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.99); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.79).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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