Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mantova meet Cremonese on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova), refereed by Rapuano Andrea. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Mantova vs Cremonese: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Mantova are 4th with 18 points after 10 matches (5W 3D 2L), whereas Cremonese are 11th with 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Mantova have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Cremonese average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mantova: 5W 2D 1L, goals 14–8; Cremonese: 1W 3D 4L, goals 6–11.
- Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, Mantova have 1 win, Cremonese have 2 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–6.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 3; Mantova 1 win, 0 draws, Cremonese 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Mantova 14–8, Cremonese 6–11.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Mantova 0, Cremonese 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Mantova are missing: no absences. Cremonese are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Mantova vs Cremonese: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.39 | 3.30 | 3.26 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.17 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.32 | 28.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Mantova 1–1 Cremonese, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Mantova 4th (18 points), Cremonese 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Mantova 5W 2D 1L (14:8), Cremonese 1W 3D 4L (6:11).
- H2H: 3 matches: Mantova 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–6.
- Absences: Mantova 0, Cremonese 0.
Who will win Mantova vs Cremonese?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Mantova vs Cremonese: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Mantova vs Cremonese: who is missing
Mantova
- No reported absences
Cremonese
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Mantova vs Cremonese: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Mantova
Home and away
Mantova vs Cremonese: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
MantovaDLWLWCremoneseWWLLDMantova vs Cremonese: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Mantova vs Cremonese: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Mantova vs Cremonese?
Cremonese +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Mantova vs Cremonese?
Our probabilities: Mantova to win 41%, a draw 29%, Cremonese to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova. Referee: Rapuano Andrea.
Who will be missing?
Mantova: no absences. Cremonese: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.06); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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