Bet with MINO CASINO →Levski Sofia meet Jagiellonia on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Vasil Levski National Stadium (Sophia). Levski Sofia (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Levski Sofia are 17th with 4 points after 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), whereas Jagiellonia are 27th with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Levski Sofia have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Jagiellonia average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Levski Sofia: 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–3; Jagiellonia: 4W 1D 2L, goals 13–9.
What to expect
Levski Sofia should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Levski Sofia 3–3, Jagiellonia 13–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Levski Sofia 5, Jagiellonia 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Levski Sofia are missing: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem, R. Kirilov, A. Mitkov, M. Sangare. Jagiellonia are without: D. Drachal, C. Polak, N. Wojtuszek, Z. Zalewski. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.06 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| Market average | 1.99 | 3.56 | 3.60 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.14 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.81 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.01 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.96 | 31.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 44.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Levski Sofia 17th (4 points), Jagiellonia 27th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Levski Sofia 1W 1D 1L (3:3), Jagiellonia 4W 1D 2L (13:9).
- Absences: Levski Sofia 5, Jagiellonia 4.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: who is missing
Levski Sofia
- P. Hristovnot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Kamdemnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Kirilovknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Mitkovinjury · will miss the match
- M. Sangarenot in the squad · will miss the match
Jagiellonia
- D. Drachalnot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Polaknot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Wojtuszeknot in the squad · will miss the match
- Z. Zalewskinot in the squad · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Levski Sofia
Home and away
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Levski SofiaWDLJagielloniaLWLReturns calculator
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our result tip is Levski Sofia to win (odds 2.06), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Levski Sofia or draw (1X).
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our probabilities: Levski Sofia to win 47%, a draw 27%, Jagiellonia to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Vasil Levski National Stadium, Sophia.
Who will be missing?
Levski Sofia: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem, R. Kirilov, A. Mitkov, M. Sangare. Jagiellonia: D. Drachal, C. Polak, N. Wojtuszek, Z. Zalewski. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.84); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.8%); after that come 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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