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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 4 · 4 November 2026 · 20:00

Lens vs Como: tip, odds and prediction – 4 November 2026, UEFA Champions League

LLW
VS
WLW
1Lens3.25
XDraw4.00
2Como2.27

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 12:16

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Lens vs Como: tip and prediction
Our tip
Como win
2.22

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Como expected to triumph over Lens

We expect the away team to win, offered at 2.22 odds. The freshly promoted club has become a key story in this European season, traveling to the venue with determination, talent and hopes of finishing in the top eight.

Como have won each of their last five competitive matches, scoring 13 times and conceding only 3. All three of their Champions League fixtures to date have been high‑scoring affairs. Currently sitting fourth in Serie A, they enter their debut European campaign with the confidence of a side that sees no risk.

Lens are trending downwards. Their recent Champions League record shows two defeats without a goal, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine Ligue 1 fixtures so far.
Missing the sidelined Édouard, they rely on playing at home and enjoying a two‑day rest advantage.

At odds of 2.22, backing the side in good form against a defensively weak opponent delivers the top value. Como has no established track record abroad, creating real doubt, but the present performances of both clubs clearly tip the balance toward one team.

Lens versus Como: schedule, start time and location

On 4 November 2026, the Champions League’s fourth match‑day features Lens versus Como, with the game scheduled for 21:00 CET at the Stade Bollaert‑Delelis.

In the United Kingdom the match is available on TNT Sports, with streaming via HBO Max. Paramount+ carries it in the United States and DAZN in Canada. Broadcast arrangements can differ by region, so check local listings.

RC Lens vs FC Como: Odds & Top Picks

Odds are almost even, with Lens slight favourites at home and Como quoted at 2.22 – a generous payout given their five‑match winning streak. A draw looks like the safest pick.

Como has seen every European fixture feature five or more goals, making the goal markets lively, whereas Lens has struggled to find the net abroad, suggesting a cautious approach to any goal‑related wagers on the home side. Our pick: a victory for Como.

What recent performances have Lens and Como shown before this game?

After an encouraging start, Lens quickly stumbled in Europe, suffering two consecutive defeats without finding the net, which dropped them into the chase pack; domestically they sit 27th, having collected merely three points from three games, offering little comfort.

Como have secured five consecutive victories across all competitions, accumulating a 13‑3 record, a run that has elevated them to fourth place in Serie A and placed them on the brink of the Champions League’s last eight.

Lens and Como: Essential Pre‑Game Data

Lens have conceded in all nine of their Ligue 1 games this season – the weakest home defence currently – and they failed to score in their last two European outings.

Across all three of Como’s Champions League outings, each match has produced a tally of five or more goals, indicating that the encounters stay entertaining and competitive irrespective of who leads.

Lens vs Como H2H History

Lens and Como meet for the inaugural competitive clash, marking a notable start to the Italian side's European campaign.

Since there’s no head‑to‑head history, the only trustworthy gauge is the current form – which shows that Como enjoy every edge, apart from the home‑field factor.

Current news concerning Lens and Como: missing players, suspensions, and key team figures

Lens miss Édouard, losing a key choice for both flanks of the field.

Como will be missing Moise Kean, and with Assane Diao and Addai yet to return, their scoring momentum could wane. Nico Paz stays the main playmaker, a crucial figure for Lens to neutralise.

Lens vs Como: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.254.002.27
Market average3.033.802.17
Lowest odds2.773.352.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1481.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5461.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4338.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.422.3440.7%
BTTS – yes1.501.4563.9%
BTTS – no2.632.5836.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:16. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lens 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lens 27th (3 points), Como 9th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lens 1W 0D 2L (3:7), Como 2W 0D 1L (10:5).
  • Absences: Lens 6, Como 8.

Who will win Lens vs Como?

Lens31%
Draw25%
Como44%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Lens vs Como: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.6% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Como (X2)68.7% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.43
Likely
Both sides to score: yes63.9% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.2% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.3% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.66
Possible
Como to win43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.27
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.7% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.42
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.50
Outsider
Both sides to score: no36.1% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.63
Outsider
Lens to win31.3% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw25.0% · fair odds 4.01 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.77 · Under 1.99
probability of over 53.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.1%
0 : 17.7%
2 : 17.5%
0 : 26.5%
2 : 26.4%

Lens vs Como: who is missing

Lens

  • J. Chavezabsence · will miss the match
  • O. Edouardgroin injury · will miss the match
  • I. Ganiouknee injury · will miss the match
  • I. Jourdrennot in the squad · will miss the match
  • M. Nawrockiknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Simamuscle injury · will miss the match

Como

  • J. Addaimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
  • E. Goldaniganot in the squad · will miss the match
  • W. Kambwalanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Lahdonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
  • T. Chalobahinjury · doubtful

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Lens vs Como: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Lens

30 OctLLille 1–0 Lens
24 OctWLens 2–1 Paris FC
21 OctLClub Brugge KV 3–0 Lens
17 OctWEstac Troyes 1–3 Lens
13 OctLLens 0–2 Sporting CP

Como

1 NovWComo 1–0 Venezia
27 OctWTorino 1–3 Como
24 OctWComo 2–0 Sassuolo
21 OctWComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctWFiorentina 1–3 Como

Home and away

Lens at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2
Como away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–3

Lens vs Como: team stats compared

LensComo
33%Form67%
23%Attack77%
42%Defence58%
32.7%Overall67.3%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

LensLLW
ComoWLW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Lens vs Como: questions and answers

Thinking about a win on foreign soil?

Indeed – Como are still building their European credentials, and the absence of Kean is a disadvantage, but their latest five-game streak against a side that has not recorded a shutout this season backs the odds.

What is the best tip for Lens vs Como?

Como win (2.22)

Who will win Lens vs Como?

Our probabilities: Lens to win 31%, a draw 25%, Como to win 44%.

What time and where is kick-off?

4 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Referee: Rohit Saggi.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.1%) and 0–1 (7.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.