Bet with MINO CASINO →Kilmarnock are at home to Aberdeen on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Rugby Park (Kilmarnock). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 3.66 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.61 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.30 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.36 | 39.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Kilmarnock 11th (9 points), Aberdeen 10th (11 points).
- H2H: 55 matches: Kilmarnock 11W 11D 33L, goals 47–85.
- Absences: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: who is missing
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Aberdeen
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Kilmarnock
Home and away
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Kilmarnock are 11th with 9 points after 12 matches (2W 3D 7L), whereas Aberdeen are 10th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In their 55 meetings so far, Kilmarnock have 11 wins, Aberdeen have 33 wins and 11 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 47–85.
What to expect
Aberdeen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 55; Kilmarnock 11 wins, 11 draws, Aberdeen 33 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Kilmarnock are missing: no absences. Aberdeen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: head to head
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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Our result tip is Draw or Aberdeen (X2) (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Draw or Aberdeen (X2).
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Our probabilities: Kilmarnock to win 30%, a draw 25%, Aberdeen to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Who will be missing?
Kilmarnock: no absences. Aberdeen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–2 (9.2%) and 0–1 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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