Bet with MINO CASINO →Hull City are at home to Brighton on 22 November 2026 · 14:00 at MKM Stadium (Hull). Our favourites are Brighton (63%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Hull City vs Brighton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hull City are 11th with 11 points after 9 matches (2W 5D 2L), whereas Brighton are 3rd with 19 points (6W 1D 2L).
What to expect
Brighton should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Hull City 0, Brighton 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hull City are missing: no absences. Brighton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hull City vs Brighton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.37 | 4.78 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 6.07 | 4.59 | 1.51 |
| Lowest odds | 5.70 | 4.33 | 1.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.34 | 41.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.55 | 37.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.04 | 2.01 | 46.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hull City 0–2 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hull City 11th (11 points), Brighton 3rd (19 points).
- Absences: Hull City 0, Brighton 0.
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hull City vs Brighton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Hull City vs Brighton: who is missing
Hull City
- No reported absences
Brighton
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hull City vs Brighton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
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Hull City vs Brighton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hull City vs Brighton?
Our result tip is Brighton to win (odds 1.54), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Brighton (X2).
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?
Our probabilities: Hull City to win 16%, a draw 21%, Brighton to win 63%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at MKM Stadium, Hull.
Who will be missing?
Hull City: no absences. Brighton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (10.4%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.