Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aston Villa meet Fulham on 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham), refereed by Samuel Barrott. Aston Villa (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.16 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.57 | 3.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.06 | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.93 | 32.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 17:22. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 10th (12 points), Fulham 15th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Aston Villa 3W 2D 3L (9:12), Fulham 2W 2D 4L (8:10).
- H2H: 26 matches: Aston Villa 12W 5D 9L, goals 33–28.
- Absences: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aston Villa vs Fulham: who is missing
Aston Villa
- A. Onanaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Ruggerimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Wan-Bissakamuscle injury · will miss the match
Fulham
- R. Sessegnonred card · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Aston Villa vs Fulham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Aston Villa are 10th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Fulham are 15th with 9 points (2W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Aston Villa have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Fulham average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aston Villa: 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–12; Fulham: 2W 2D 4L, goals 8–10.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, Aston Villa have 12 wins, Fulham have 9 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 33–28.
What to expect
Aston Villa should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; Aston Villa 12 wins, 5 draws, Fulham 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Aston Villa 9–12, Fulham 8–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Aston Villa are missing: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Fulham are without: R. Sessegnon. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Aston VillaDWWDWFulhamDWWLDAston Villa vs Fulham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Aston Villa vs Fulham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our result tip is Aston Villa to win (odds 2.16), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Aston Villa or draw (1X).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our probabilities: Aston Villa to win 47%, a draw 27%, Fulham to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: Samuel Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Fulham: R. Sessegnon. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.86); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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