Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1. FC Köln are at home to FC Schalke 04 on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne), with Harm Osmers, Germany as the referee. Our favourites are 1. FC Köln (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.15 | 3.92 | 3.47 |
| Market average | 2.08 | 3.74 | 3.32 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.59 | 36.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Schalke 04, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points), FC Schalke 04 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 3L (8:11), FC Schalke 04 1W 2D 3L (4:7).
- H2H: 24 matches: 1. FC Köln 11W 8D 5L, goals 38–32.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 5, FC Schalke 04 5.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: who is missing
1. FC Köln
- T. Dallingaknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Hubersknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Skhiriankle injury · will miss the match
- R. van den Bergmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Achethigh injury · doubtful
FC Schalke 04
- K. Karamanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Ljubicicknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Schallenbergabsence · will miss the match
- M. Syllaabsence · will miss the match
- M. Wobermuscle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
1. FC Köln
Home and away
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, 1. FC Köln are 13th with 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), whereas FC Schalke 04 are 17th with 6 points (1W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. 1. FC Köln have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; FC Schalke 04 average 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 2W 1D 3L, goals 8–11; FC Schalke 04: 1W 2D 3L, goals 4–7.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, 1. FC Köln have 11 wins, FC Schalke 04 have 5 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 38–32.
What to expect
1. FC Köln should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; 1. FC Köln 11 wins, 8 draws, FC Schalke 04 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: 1. FC Köln 8–11, FC Schalke 04 4–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: 1. FC Köln 5, FC Schalke 04 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
1. FC Köln are missing: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg, R. Ache. FC Schalke 04 are without: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic, R. Schallenberg, M. Sylla, M. Wober. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnDDLWLFC Schalke 04LDLLD1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: head to head
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1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: questions and answers
What is the best tip for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
Our result tip is 1. FC Köln to win (odds 2.15), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is 1. FC Köln or draw (1X).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
Our probabilities: 1. FC Köln to win 46%, a draw 25%, FC Schalke 04 to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg, R. Ache. FC Schalke 04: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic, R. Schallenberg, M. Sylla, M. Wober. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.72); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.0%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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