Bet with MINO CASINO →Porto versus Napoli – Porto are favored to secure the three points
We back a Porto victory at home with odds of 2.04. While their league form is flawless, three setbacks in the Champions League group stage have made the price appealing – this fixture could shift the momentum.
Porta meets Napoli: Schedule, Start Time & Stadium
Porto will welcome Napoli this Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick‑off scheduled for 20:00 at the Estádio do Dragão.
In the United Kingdom the match is available on TNT Sports, with streaming via HBO Max. Paramount+ carries it in the United States and DAZN in Canada. Broadcast arrangements can differ by region, so check local listings.
Porta versus Napoli – Odds and Prime Markets
The odds are narrow: Porto lead as slight favourites at 2.04, while Napoli trails and a draw sits in between. The most straightforward and rewarding choice is a Porto victory at 2.04.
Assessing the Current Condition of Porto vs. Napoli
Porto have been defeated in each of their three European group fixtures and sit at the foot of the standings with no points, yet they stay undefeated in the Primeira Liga, having secured ten consecutive league victories. Napoli have collected three points across three group games, recording a single win alongside two defeats, and sit 22nd in the group.
Porta against Napoli: Essential Pre‑Game Data
Porto’s domestic record is flawless: ten wins, a +21 goal difference and six clean sheets, giving them the best home form in the league. Napoli have failed to win any of their last seven Champions League away games, losing six of those fixtures.
In their recent clashes, Porto have avoided defeat against Napoli, securing a victory and a stalemate.
Porta vs Napoli H2H History
Porto hold the advantage in the latest head‑to‑head, remaining undefeated over the past two games, recording a win and a draw.
Porta against Napoli: Updates on Absences, Bans and Crucial Squad Members
Porto’s key dilemma concerns the forward line, as André Silva’s latest strike versus Estoril bolsters his claim for a place in the eleven. The majority of the group remains healthy, yet the following members are missing: Gabriel Mec (not registered), D. Prpic (not registered), V. Sousa (leg problem), William Gomes (ankle problem), O. Pietuszewski (muscle problem), C. Smalling (out), Zaidu (out).
Napoli are without a lengthy roster of players: Alisson Santos (muscular issue), B. Badiashile (problem), A. Buongiorno (knee problem), David Neres (thigh problem), C. Favasuli (thigh problem), R. Hojlund (unwell), S. Lobotka (ankle problem), L. Marianucci (not in squad), V. Milinkovic‑Savic (muscular issue), L. Spinazzola (thigh problem), K. De Bruyne (ankle problem), G. Di Lorenzo (muscular issue), M. Olivera (muscular issue).
FC Porto vs Napoli: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.06 | 3.89 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.69 | 3.69 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.28 | 3.31 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.74 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.11 | 45.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.90 | 2.78 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Porto 1–1 Napoli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Porto 34th (0 points), Napoli 22nd (3 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Porto 0W 0D 3L (2:6), Napoli 1W 0D 2L (5:7).
- Absences: FC Porto 6, Napoli 13.
Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Porto vs Napoli: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Porto vs Napoli: who is missing
FC Porto
- Gabriel Mecnot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Prpicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- V. Sousaabsence · will miss the match
- William Gomesankle injury · will miss the match
- O. Pietuszewskimuscle injury · doubtful
- C. Smallinginjury · doubtful
Napoli
- Alisson Santosmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Badiashileinjury · will miss the match
- A. Buongiornoknee injury · will miss the match
- David Neresthigh injury · will miss the match
- C. Favasulithigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Hojlundillness · will miss the match
- S. Lobotkaankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Marianuccinot in the squad · will miss the match
- V. Milinkovic-Savicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Spinazzolathigh injury · will miss the match
- K. De Bruyneankle injury · doubtful
- G. Di Lorenzomuscle injury · doubtful
- M. Oliveramuscle injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Porto vs Napoli: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
FC Porto
Home and away
FC Porto vs Napoli: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC PortoLLLNapoliWLLReturns calculator
FC Porto vs Napoli: questions and answers
When is the match?
Wednesday, 4 November 2026, kick‑off at 20:00, Estádio do Dragão, Porto.
What’s the forecast?
Our tip favors Porto’s triumph at odds of 2.04.
Why is Porto considered the underdog on home ground?
Their trio of group‑stage defeats have left the market hesitant, despite an unbeaten league streak, offering an attractive return versus a Napoli side hampered by injuries.
What is the best tip for FC Porto vs Napoli?
Porto to win (2.04)
Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?
Our probabilities: FC Porto to win 48%, a draw 26%, Napoli to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
4 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. Referee: Michael Oliver.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.81); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.