Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Andorra v Burgos is on 26 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadi de la FAF (Encamp); D. Miranda takes charge. We think FC Andorra (48%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Andorra are 20th with 10 points after 11 matches (3W 1D 7L), whereas Burgos are 8th with 21 points (6W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. FC Andorra have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Burgos average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Andorra: 3W 1D 6L, goals 13–17; Burgos: 5W 2D 3L, goals 13–10.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, FC Andorra have 2 wins, Burgos have 5 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–10.
What to expect
FC Andorra should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Burgos are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; FC Andorra 2 wins, 1 draw, Burgos 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Andorra 13–17, Burgos 13–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: FC Andorra 0, Burgos 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Andorra are missing: no absences. Burgos are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.01 | 3.50 | 4.17 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.30 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.80 | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.49 | 26.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.96 | 1.91 | 48.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 26/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Andorra 1–1 Burgos, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Andorra 20th (10 points), Burgos 8th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Andorra 3W 1D 6L (13:17), Burgos 5W 2D 3L (13:10).
- H2H: 8 matches: FC Andorra 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–10.
- Absences: FC Andorra 0, Burgos 0.
Who will win FC Andorra vs Burgos?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Andorra vs Burgos: who is missing
FC Andorra
- No reported absences
Burgos
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
FC Andorra
Home and away
FC Andorra vs Burgos: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC AndorraLLWDBurgosDWWLLFC Andorra vs Burgos: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Andorra vs Burgos: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Andorra vs Burgos?
Our result tip is FC Andorra to win (odds 2.01), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87). The safer pick is FC Andorra or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Andorra vs Burgos?
Our probabilities: FC Andorra to win 48%, a draw 28%, Burgos to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
26 October 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Estadi de la FAF, Encamp. Referee: D. Miranda.
Who will be missing?
FC Andorra: no absences. Burgos: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.08); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (11.7%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.