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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14 · 21 November 2026 · 17:45

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: tip, odds and prediction – 21 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Dundee4.40
XDraw4.30
2Heart Of Midlothian1.71

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:38

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Dundee meet Heart Of Midlothian on 21 November 2026 · 17:45 at Dens Park (Dundee). Heart Of Midlothian (55%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: tip and prediction
Result
Heart Of Midlothian to win
1.71
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Combo
Heart Of Midlothian plus over 2.5 goals
2.61
38% · combo fair price
55%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2) – 78% probability, top odds 1.23.

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Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds4.404.301.71
Market average4.194.101.69
Lowest odds4.003.901.67
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1580.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5161.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.522.4338.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.352.3041.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.1%
BTTS – no2.392.3239.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Dundee 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Dundee 5th (17 points), Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points).
  • H2H: 35 matches: Dundee 11W 3D 21L, goals 33–60.
  • Absences: Dundee 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Who will win Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Dundee22%
Draw23%
Heart Of Midlothian55%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.9% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2)77.8% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.23
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Both sides to score: yes60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Heart Of Midlothian to win55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.71
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.35
Outsider
Both sides to score: no39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.39
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.52
Outsider
Draw22.7% · fair odds 4.40 · best 4.30
Outsider
Dundee to win22.2% · fair odds 4.50 · best 4.40
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.0%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 18.4%
0 : 28.1%
1 : 36.4%
2 : 16.0%

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: who is missing

Dundee

  • No reported absences

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Dundee

28 OctWDundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
24 OctLST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
17 OctDDundee 2–2 Rangers
10 OctWFalkirk 1–2 Dundee
19 SeptWDundee 2–1 Motherwell

Heart Of Midlothian

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

Home and away

Dundee at home6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 11–7
Heart Of Midlothian away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 9–13

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Dundee are 5th with 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), whereas Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd with 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
  2. Head to head. In their 35 meetings so far, Dundee have 11 wins, Heart Of Midlothian have 21 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 33–60.

What to expect

Heart Of Midlothian should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 35; Dundee 11 wins, 3 draws, Heart Of Midlothian 21 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
  4. Absent: Dundee 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Dundee are missing: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: head to head

All matches
11Dundee
3Draws
21Heart Of Midlothian
6/9/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee
21/3/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee
11/1/26 · Dundee 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian
1/11/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 4–0 Dundee
26/4/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee
7/3/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Dundee

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our result tip is Heart Of Midlothian to win (odds 1.71), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2).

Who will win Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our probabilities: Dundee to win 22%, a draw 23%, Heart Of Midlothian to win 55%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Dens Park, Dundee.

Who will be missing?

Dundee: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.52).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.0%); after that come 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (8.4%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.