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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Celtic3.20
XDraw3.89
2Beşiktaş2.23

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 12:30

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Celtic v Beşiktaş is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.67
Result (even match)
Draw or Beşiktaş (X2)
1.40
60%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Celtic vs Beşiktaş: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Celtic are 35th with 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), whereas Beşiktaş are 8th with 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Celtic have scored 1.0 and conceded 3.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Beşiktaş average 1.9 scored and 0.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Celtic: 0W 0D 3L, goals 3–9; Beşiktaş: 7W 1D 1L, goals 17–6.

What to expect

Beşiktaş should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Celtic 3–9, Beşiktaş 17–6.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
  3. Absent: Celtic 7, Beşiktaş 4.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.52). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Celtic are missing: L. Emenalo, A. Johnston, Jota, S. Mheuka, A. Trusty, Yang Hyun-Jun, J. van den Berg. Beşiktaş are without: U. Akdag, C. Keles, O. Kokcu, F. Miretti. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.203.892.23
Market average3.083.702.14
Lowest odds2.883.302.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1780.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.5959.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.452.3540.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.542.4338.7%
BTTS – yes1.521.5062.1%
BTTS – no2.552.4737.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Celtic 1–1 Beşiktaş, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Celtic 35th (0 points), Beşiktaş 8th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Celtic 0W 0D 3L (3:9), Beşiktaş 7W 1D 1L (17:6).
  • Absences: Celtic 7, Beşiktaş 4.

Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Celtic31%
Draw25%
Beşiktaş44%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.3% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Beşiktaş (X2)69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Both sides to score: yes62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.3% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.67
Possible
Beşiktaş to win44.0% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.23
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.7% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.54
Outsider
Both sides to score: no37.9% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.55
Outsider
Celtic to win30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw25.4% · fair odds 3.93 · best 3.89
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.1%
0 : 17.7%
2 : 17.5%
0 : 26.5%
2 : 26.4%

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: who is missing

Celtic

  • L. Emenalonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • A. Johnstonnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • Jotanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • S. Mheukanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • A. Trustynot in the squad · will miss the match
  • Yang Hyun-Junhamstring injury · will miss the match
  • J. van den Bergnot in the squad · will miss the match

Beşiktaş

  • U. Akdagred card · will miss the match
  • C. Kelesnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • O. Kokcufoot injury · will miss the match
  • F. Mirettiinjury · will miss the match

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Celtic

1 NovLFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctDCeltic 2–2 Dundee Utd
25 OctWHibernian 1–2 Celtic
22 OctLCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Beşiktaş

22 OctDBeşiktaş 2–2 Crystal Palace
15 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş
17 SeptWBeşiktaş 4–1 Marseille
27 AugLKauno Žalgiris 1–0 Beşiktaş
20 AugWBeşiktaş 3–0 Kauno Žalgiris

Home and away

Celtic at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–5
Beşiktaş away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–2

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: team stats compared

CelticBeşiktaş
0%Form100%
20%Attack80%
40%Defence60%
24.3%Overall75.7%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

CelticLLL
BeşiktaşDWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Over 2.5 goals (1.67); Draw or Beşiktaş (X2) (1.40).

Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Our probabilities: Celtic to win 31%, a draw 25%, Beşiktaş to win 44%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Celtic Park, Glasgow.

Who will be missing?

Celtic: L. Emenalo, A. Johnston, Jota, S. Mheuka, A. Trusty, Yang Hyun-Jun, J. van den Berg. Beşiktaş: U. Akdag, C. Keles, O. Kokcu, F. Miretti. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.45).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.52).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.1%) and 0–1 (7.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.