Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Arezzo meet Ascoli on 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Città di Arezzo (Arezzo), refereed by Mattia Drigo. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Arezzo are 13th with 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), whereas Ascoli are 3rd with 19 points (5W 4D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Arezzo have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Ascoli average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Arezzo: 3W 1D 5L, goals 9–19; Ascoli: 5W 3D 1L, goals 16–6.
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Arezzo have 2 wins, Ascoli have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–5.
What to expect
Ascoli should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Arezzo 2 wins, 2 draws, Ascoli 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Arezzo 9–19, Ascoli 16–6.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Arezzo 0, Ascoli 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Arezzo are missing: no absences. Ascoli are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.70 | 3.47 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.41 | 3.34 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.19 | 3.19 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.25 | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.86 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.92 | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.11 | 2.06 | 45.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Arezzo 1–1 Ascoli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Arezzo 13th (11 points), Ascoli 3rd (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Arezzo 3W 1D 5L (9:19), Ascoli 5W 3D 1L (16:6).
- H2H: 6 matches: Arezzo 2W 2D 2L, goals 6–5.
- Absences: Arezzo 0, Ascoli 0.
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Arezzo vs Ascoli: who is missing
Arezzo
- No reported absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Arezzo
Home and away
Arezzo vs Ascoli: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ArezzoDLLWDAscoliDWWDDArezzo vs Ascoli: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Arezzo vs Ascoli: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Over 2.5 goals (1.94); Draw or Ascoli (X2) (1.34).
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Our probabilities: Arezzo to win 27%, a draw 28%, Ascoli to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo. Referee: Mattia Drigo.
Who will be missing?
Arezzo: no absences. Ascoli: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.94); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 0–1 (10.6%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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