Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Girona are at home to Celta de Vigo II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona), with J. Guzmán as the referee. Our favourites are Girona (71%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.35 | 5.40 | 9.48 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.13 | 8.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.50 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 52.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 14:13. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Girona 2–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Girona 7th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 16th (13 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Girona 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: who is missing
Girona
- No reported absences
Celta de Vigo II
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Girona
Home and away
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Girona are 7th with 21 points after 12 matches (6W 3D 3L), whereas Celta de Vigo II are 16th with 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Girona have 1 win, Celta de Vigo II have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–1.
What to expect
Girona should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Girona 1 win, 0 draws, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 6.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Girona are missing: no absences. Celta de Vigo II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: head to head
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Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our result tip is Girona to win (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Girona or draw (1X).
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our probabilities: Girona to win 71%, a draw 18%, Celta de Vigo II to win 11%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona. Referee: J. Guzmán.
Who will be missing?
Girona: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.3%); after that come 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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