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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 24 October 2026 · 17:30

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: tip, odds and prediction – 24 October 2026, Segunda División

LWWDD
5–1
1Girona1.35
XDraw5.40
2Celta de Vigo II9.48

Best available odds · Updated 24/10/26, 14:13

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Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Girona are at home to Celta de Vigo II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona), with J. Guzmán as the referee. Our favourites are Girona (71%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: tip and prediction
Result
Girona to win
1.35
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Girona plus over 2.5 goals
2.00
50% · combo fair price
71%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Girona or draw (1X) – 89% probability, top odds 1.09.

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Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.355.409.48
Market average1.325.138.58
Lowest odds1.294.808.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1482.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5062.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4837.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.392.2741.7%
BTTS – yes1.831.7852.1%
BTTS – no2.001.9447.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 14:13. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Girona 2–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Girona 7th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 16th (13 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Girona 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
  • Absences: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.

Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?

Girona71%
Draw18%
Celta de Vigo II11%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: more markets and betting tips

Girona or draw (1X)89.1% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.2% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Girona to win70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.35
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.3% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: yes52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.83
Possible
Both sides to score: no47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.39
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.7% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw18.2% · fair odds 5.48 · best 5.40
Outsider
Celta de Vigo II to win10.9% · fair odds 9.15 · best 9.48
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.0%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.81 · Under 1.95
probability of over 51.8%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.3%
1 : 09.6%
2 : 19.6%
3 : 08.8%
1 : 18.1%
3 : 17.5%

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: who is missing

Girona

  • No reported absences

Celta de Vigo II

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Girona

31 OctLReal Sociedad II 1–0 Girona
24 OctWGirona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II
18 OctWGirona 2–0 FC Andorra
12 OctDTenerife 1–1 Girona
4 OctDGirona 0–0 Mallorca

Celta de Vigo II

31 OctDCelta de Vigo II 2–2 Córdoba
24 OctLGirona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II
19 OctDCelta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
10 OctWCelta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II
4 OctLSporting Gijón 3–2 Celta de Vigo II

Home and away

Girona at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 16–6
Celta de Vigo II away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–10

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Girona are 7th with 21 points after 12 matches (6W 3D 3L), whereas Celta de Vigo II are 16th with 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
  2. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Girona have 1 win, Celta de Vigo II have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–1.

What to expect

Girona should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Girona 1 win, 0 draws, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 6.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
  4. Absent: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Girona are missing: no absences. Celta de Vigo II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: head to head

All matches
1Girona
0Draws
0Celta de Vigo II
24/10/26 · Girona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?

Our result tip is Girona to win (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Girona or draw (1X).

Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?

Our probabilities: Girona to win 71%, a draw 18%, Celta de Vigo II to win 11%.

What time and where is kick-off?

24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona. Referee: J. Guzmán.

Who will be missing?

Girona: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.3%); after that come 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.