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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 20 November 2026 · 19:30

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: tip, odds and prediction – 20 November 2026, Bundesliga

1Bayern München1.09
XDraw17.50
21. FC Köln32.00

Best available odds · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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Bayern München meet 1. FC Köln on 20 November 2026 · 19:30 at Allianz Arena (Munich). Bayern München (89%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: tip and prediction
Result
Bayern München to win
1.09
Goals
Both teams to score
1.85
Combo
Bayern München plus over 2.5 goals
1.30
77% · combo fair price
89%chance of the result
51%chance for the goals tip
3–0likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bayern München or draw (1X) – 96% probability, top odds 1.02. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.0917.5032.00
Market average1.0713.3526.40
Lowest odds1.0611.2523.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.041.0391.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.161.1382.5%
Under 2.5 goals5.505.3417.5%
Over 3.5 goals1.421.3967.9%
BTTS – yes1.851.8251.2%
BTTS – no1.951.9148.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • Table: Bayern München 1st (18 points), 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points).
  • Absences: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

Bayern München89%
Draw7%
1. FC Köln4%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: more markets and betting tips

Bayern München or draw (1X)96.3% · fair odds 1.04 · best 1.02
Likely
Over 1.5 goals91.5% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.04
Likely
Bayern München to win89.0% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 2.5 goals82.5% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 3.5 goals67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Both sides to score: yes51.2% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals32.1% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals17.5% · fair odds 5.72 · best 5.50
Outsider
Draw7.3% · fair odds 13.65 · best 17.50
Outsider
1. FC Köln to win3.7% · fair odds 27.34 · best 32.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

3 : 09.8%
4 : 09.2%
2 : 07.8%
3 : 17.3%
4 : 16.9%
5 : 06.9%

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: who is missing

Bayern München

  • No reported absences

1. FC Köln

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

Bayern München

31 OctDBayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
25 OctWSC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München
21 OctDBayern München 2–2 Arsenal
17 OctWBayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig
13 OctDViking 3–3 Bayern München

1. FC Köln

1 NovDUnion Berlin 1–1 1. FC Köln
24 OctD1. FC Köln 0–0 FC Schalke 04
16 OctLEintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln
11 OctW1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
19 SeptLHamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln

Home and away

Bayern München at home4 matches: 3W 1D 0L, goals 20–4
1. FC Köln away4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 3–8

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Bayern München are 1st with 18 points after 8 matches (5W 3D 0L), whereas 1. FC Köln are 13th with 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

Bayern München should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 4–1, about 5 goals combined, and 3–0 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.09, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 5 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 83%.
  2. Absent: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 5 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Bayern München are missing: no absences. 1. FC Köln are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

Our result tip is Bayern München to win (odds 1.09), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.85). The safer pick is Bayern München or draw (1X).

Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?

Our probabilities: Bayern München to win 89%, a draw 7%, 1. FC Köln to win 4%.

What time and where is kick-off?

20 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Allianz Arena, Munich.

Who will be missing?

Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Köln: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 83% (odds 1.16); under 2.5 goals is at 17% (odds 5.50).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 3–0 (9.8%); after that come 4–0 (9.2%) and 2–0 (7.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.