Bayern München meet 1. FC Köln on 20 November 2026 · 19:30 at Allianz Arena (Munich). Bayern München (89%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.09 | 17.50 | 32.00 |
| Market average | 1.07 | 13.35 | 26.40 |
| Lowest odds | 1.06 | 11.25 | 23.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.04 | 1.03 | 91.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 5.50 | 5.34 | 17.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: Bayern München 1st (18 points), 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points).
- Absences: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: who is missing
Bayern München
- No reported absences
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayern München
Home and away
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bayern München are 1st with 18 points after 8 matches (5W 3D 0L), whereas 1. FC Köln are 13th with 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
What to expect
Bayern München should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 4–1, about 5 goals combined, and 3–0 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.09, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 5 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 83%.
- Absent: Bayern München 0, 1. FC Köln 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 5 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bayern München are missing: no absences. 1. FC Köln are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Our result tip is Bayern München to win (odds 1.09), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.85). The safer pick is Bayern München or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Our probabilities: Bayern München to win 89%, a draw 7%, 1. FC Köln to win 4%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Allianz Arena, Munich.
Who will be missing?
Bayern München: no absences. 1. FC Köln: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 83% (odds 1.16); under 2.5 goals is at 17% (odds 5.50).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 3–0 (9.8%); after that come 4–0 (9.2%) and 2–0 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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