Bet with MINO CASINO →Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 is on 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Leverkusen). We think Bayer Leverkusen (76%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are 6th with 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), whereas SC Paderborn 07 are 14th with 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
What to expect
Bayer Leverkusen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (8.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.29, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 60%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 75%.
- Absent: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bayer Leverkusen are missing: no absences. SC Paderborn 07 are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.29 | 7.07 | 10.30 |
| Market average | 1.26 | 6.52 | 9.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.71 | 25.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 60.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.33 | 40.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: who is missing
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
SC Paderborn 07
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our result tip is Bayer Leverkusen to win (odds 1.29), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen to win 76%, a draw 15%, SC Paderborn 07 to win 10%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at BayArena, Leverkusen.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 75% (odds 1.28); under 2.5 goals is at 25% (odds 3.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (8.5%); after that come 2–0 (8.5%) and 3–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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