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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: tip, odds and prediction – 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Aarhus1.52
XDraw4.74
2Egnatia Rrogozhinë7.11

Best available odds · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë is on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Cepheus Park (Randers); A. Culina takes charge. We think Aarhus (65%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: tip and prediction
Result
Aarhus to win
1.52
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Aarhus plus over 2.5 goals
2.29
44% · combo fair price
65%chance of the result
65%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Aarhus or draw (1X) – 86% probability, top odds 1.14.

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Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.524.747.11
Market average1.444.516.60
Lowest odds1.404.105.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6656.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.242.1843.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6435.4%
BTTS – yes1.821.7951.8%
BTTS – no2.001.9348.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Aarhus 2–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Aarhus 26th (1 point), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 20th (2 points).
  • Absences: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Aarhus65%
Draw21%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë14%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: more markets and betting tips

Aarhus or draw (1X)85.8% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.23
Likely
Aarhus to win64.9% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.71
Possible
Both sides to score: yes51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.82
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.2% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.74
Outsider
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win14.2% · fair odds 7.02 · best 7.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.0%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.9%

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: who is missing

Aarhus

  • No reported absences

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Aarhus

1 NovLBrøndby 2–0 Aarhus
25 OctWAarhus 2–1 Viborg
22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
18 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus
15 OctLGent 1–0 Aarhus

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Home and away

Aarhus at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Aarhus are 26th with 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), whereas Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 20th with 2 points (0W 2D 0L).

What to expect

Aarhus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
  2. Absent: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.71). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Aarhus are missing: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Our result tip is Aarhus to win (odds 1.52), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48). The safer pick is Aarhus or draw (1X).

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Our probabilities: Aarhus to win 65%, a draw 21%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win 14%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Cepheus Park, Randers. Referee: A. Culina.

Who will be missing?

Aarhus: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.24).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.82).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.0%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.