Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aarhus meet Viborg on 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Vejlby Stadion (Aarhus), refereed by Mikkel Redder. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Aarhus vs Viborg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Aarhus are 8th with 12 points after 13 matches (2W 6D 5L), whereas Viborg are 3rd with 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Aarhus have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Viborg average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aarhus: 1W 6D 4L, goals 15–18; Viborg: 6W 2D 3L, goals 18–10.
- Head to head. In their 36 meetings so far, Aarhus have 15 wins, Viborg have 11 wins and 10 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 49–41.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Viborg are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 36; Aarhus 15 wins, 10 draws, Viborg 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Aarhus 15–18, Viborg 18–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Aarhus 6, Viborg 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Aarhus are missing: M. Anderson, M. Camara, T. Kristjansson, G. Links, N. Poulsen, K. Yakob. Viborg are without: L. Coulibaly, T. Freriks, R. Mitchell, Y. Njoh, M. Riahi. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Aarhus vs Viborg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.48 | 3.70 | 2.81 |
| Market average | 2.36 | 3.55 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.27 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.32 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 16:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aarhus 1–1 Viborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aarhus 8th (12 points), Viborg 3rd (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Aarhus 1W 6D 4L (15:18), Viborg 6W 2D 3L (18:10).
- H2H: 36 matches: Aarhus 15W 10D 11L, goals 49–41.
- Absences: Aarhus 6, Viborg 5.
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Aarhus vs Viborg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aarhus vs Viborg: who is missing
Aarhus
- M. Andersoninjury · will miss the match
- M. Camaranot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Kristjanssonbroken hand · will miss the match
- G. Linksknock · will miss the match
- N. PoulsenAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- K. Yakobknee injury · will miss the match
Viborg
- L. Coulibalynot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Freriksknock · will miss the match
- R. Mitchellinjury · will miss the match
- Y. Njohinjury · will miss the match
- M. Riahiknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Aarhus vs Viborg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aarhus
Home and away
Aarhus vs Viborg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AarhusLWDWDViborgWLLWWAarhus vs Viborg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Aarhus vs Viborg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Aarhus vs Viborg?
Our result tip is Aarhus or draw (1X) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Aarhus or draw (1X).
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
Our probabilities: Aarhus to win 39%, a draw 26%, Viborg to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus. Referee: Mikkel Redder.
Who will be missing?
Aarhus: M. Anderson, M. Camara, T. Kristjansson, G. Links, N. Poulsen, K. Yakob. Viborg: L. Coulibaly, T. Freriks, R. Mitchell, Y. Njoh, M. Riahi. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.61); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.0%); after that come 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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