Bet with MINO CASINO →1. FC Köln are at home to Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026 · 14:30 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne). Our favourites are Bayer Leverkusen (54%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, 1. FC Köln are 13th with 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), whereas Bayer Leverkusen are 6th with 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. 1. FC Köln have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Bayer Leverkusen average 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 2W 3D 3L, goals 9–12; Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 3L, goals 18–16.
- Head to head. In their 25 meetings so far, 1. FC Köln have 7 wins, Bayer Leverkusen have 14 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 30–47.
What to expect
Bayer Leverkusen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.84), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 25; 1. FC Köln 7 wins, 4 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: 1. FC Köln 9–12, Bayer Leverkusen 18–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: 1. FC Köln 0, Bayer Leverkusen 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 3.5 goals (probability 47%, best available odds 2.11). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
1. FC Köln are missing: no absences. Bayer Leverkusen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.21 | 4.45 | 1.81 |
| Market average | 4.01 | 4.17 | 1.73 |
| Lowest odds | 3.61 | 3.77 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.40 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.86 | 32.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.03 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.70 | 34.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points), Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 2W 3D 3L (9:12), Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 3L (18:16).
- H2H: 25 matches: 1. FC Köln 7W 4D 14L, goals 30–47.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 0, Bayer Leverkusen 0.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: who is missing
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
1. FC Köln
Home and away
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnDDLWLBayer LeverkusenLLWWW1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: head to head
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1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our result tip is Bayer Leverkusen to win (odds 1.81), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.84). The safer pick is Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our probabilities: 1. FC Köln to win 23%, a draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen to win 54%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: no absences. Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.42); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 66% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.4%); after that come 1–1 (9.0%) and 0–2 (7.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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