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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Universitatea Craiova1.54
XDraw4.50
2Egnatia Rrogozhinë6.32

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:30

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Universitatea Craiova meet Egnatia Rrogozhinë on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova). Universitatea Craiova (62%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: tip and prediction
Result
Universitatea Craiova to win
1.54
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.78
Combo
Universitatea Craiova plus over 2.5 goals
2.52
40% · combo fair price
62%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Universitatea Craiova or draw (1X) – 84% probability, top odds 1.15.

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Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Universitatea Craiova are 11th with 4 points after 2 matches (1W 1D 0L), whereas Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 20th with 2 points (0W 2D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Universitatea Craiova have scored 2.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Egnatia Rrogozhinë average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Universitatea Craiova: 1W 1D 0L, goals 4–2; Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 0W 2D 0L, goals 2–2.

What to expect

Universitatea Craiova should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Universitatea Craiova 4–2, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–2.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  3. Absent: Universitatea Craiova 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Universitatea Craiova are missing: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.544.506.32
Market average1.504.225.92
Lowest odds1.453.745.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2276.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7354.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.122.0845.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.922.7334.2%
BTTS – yes1.871.8250.9%
BTTS – no2.001.8949.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Universitatea Craiova 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Universitatea Craiova 11th (4 points), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 20th (2 points).
  • Form in the competition: Universitatea Craiova 1W 1D 0L (4:2), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0W 2D 0L (2:2).
  • Absences: Universitatea Craiova 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Universitatea Craiova62%
Draw22%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë16%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: more markets and betting tips

Universitatea Craiova or draw (1X)84.2% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.15
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.4% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
Likely
Universitatea Craiova to win62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.54
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.78
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.9% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.87
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.1% · fair odds 2.04 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.12
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.2% · fair odds 2.92 · best 2.92
Outsider
Draw22.1% · fair odds 4.52 · best 4.50
Outsider
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win15.8% · fair odds 6.34 · best 6.32
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 011.3%
2 : 011.0%
1 : 110.2%
2 : 19.9%
3 : 07.1%
3 : 16.4%

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: who is missing

Universitatea Craiova

  • No reported absences

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Universitatea Craiova

22 OctWInter Club d'Escaldes 1–3 Universitatea Craiova
15 OctDUniversitatea Craiova 1–1 Getafe

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Home and away

Universitatea Craiova at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: team stats compared

Universitatea CraiovaEgnatia Rrogozhinë
67%Form33%
67%Attack33%
50%Defence50%
57.0%Overall43.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Universitatea CraiovaWD
Egnatia RrogozhinëDD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.4%

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Our result tip is Universitatea Craiova to win (odds 1.54), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.78). The safer pick is Universitatea Craiova or draw (1X).

Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Our probabilities: Universitatea Craiova to win 62%, a draw 22%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win 16%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova.

Who will be missing?

Universitatea Craiova: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.78); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.12).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.87).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.3%); after that come 2–0 (11.0%) and 1–1 (10.2%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.