Bet with MINO CASINO →Union St. Gilloise v Genk is on 8 November 2026 · 17:30 at Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels). We think Union St. Gilloise (58%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.65 | 4.26 | 5.10 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 4.04 | 4.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.54 | 3.73 | 4.35 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.60 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.43 | 38.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.63 | 1.61 | 57.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.19 | 42.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:48. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union St. Gilloise 2–1 Genk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union St. Gilloise 2nd (26 points), Genk 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Union St. Gilloise 8W 2D 0L (29:7), Genk 4W 3D 3L (18:14).
- H2H: 17 matches: Union St. Gilloise 10W 2D 5L, goals 26–17.
- Absences: Union St. Gilloise 0, Genk 0.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: who is missing
Union St. Gilloise
- No reported absences
Genk
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union St. Gilloise
Home and away
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 2nd with 26 points after 10 matches (8W 2D 0L), whereas Genk are 6th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Union St. Gilloise have scored 2.9 and conceded 0.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Genk average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Union St. Gilloise: 8W 2D 0L, goals 29–7; Genk: 4W 3D 3L, goals 18–14.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Union St. Gilloise have 10 wins, Genk have 5 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–17.
What to expect
Union St. Gilloise should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Union St. Gilloise 10 wins, 2 draws, Genk 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Union St. Gilloise 29–7, Genk 18–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Union St. Gilloise 0, Genk 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Union St. Gilloise are missing: no absences. Genk are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Union St. GilloiseWWDWWGenkLWWLDUnion St. Gilloise vs Genk: head to head
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Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Our result tip is Union St. Gilloise to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Union St. Gilloise or draw (1X).
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Our probabilities: Union St. Gilloise to win 58%, a draw 23%, Genk to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels.
Who will be missing?
Union St. Gilloise: no absences. Genk: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.63).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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