Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genk meet Standard Liège on 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Cegeka Arena (Genk), refereed by Jasper Vergoote, Belgium. Genk (55%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Genk vs Standard Liège: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.98 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 3.86 | 4.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.60 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.45 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Genk 1–1 Standard Liège, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Genk 6th (15 points), Standard Liège 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Genk 3W 3D 2L (16:12), Standard Liège 3W 2D 3L (13:13).
- H2H: 48 matches: Genk 16W 13D 19L, goals 54–64.
- Absences: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Genk vs Standard Liège: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Genk vs Standard Liège: who is missing
Genk
- No reported absences
Standard Liège
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Genk vs Standard Liège: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
Genk
Home and away
Genk vs Standard Liège: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Genk are 6th with 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), whereas Standard Liège are 9th with 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Genk have scored 2.0 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Standard Liège average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genk: 3W 3D 2L, goals 16–12; Standard Liège: 3W 2D 3L, goals 13–13.
- Head to head. In their 48 meetings so far, Genk have 16 wins, Standard Liège have 19 wins and 13 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 54–64.
What to expect
Genk should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 48; Genk 16 wins, 13 draws, Standard Liège 19 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Genk 16–12, Standard Liège 13–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.64). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Genk are missing: no absences. Standard Liège are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Genk vs Standard Liège: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GenkLWWLDStandard LiègeDLLLLGenk vs Standard Liège: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Genk vs Standard Liège: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Genk vs Standard Liège?
Our result tip is Genk to win (odds 1.75), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Genk or draw (1X).
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
Our probabilities: Genk to win 55%, a draw 24%, Standard Liège to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Cegeka Arena, Genk. Referee: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
Genk: no absences. Standard Liège: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.64); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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