Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
KV Mechelen v Genk is on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne (Mechelen); Lothar D'hondt, Belgium takes charge. We think Genk (49%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, KV Mechelen are 14th with 9 points after 9 matches (2W 3D 4L), whereas Genk are 6th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. KV Mechelen have scored 1.1 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Genk average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. KV Mechelen: 1W 3D 4L, goals 9–17; Genk: 4W 3D 2L, goals 18–13.
- Head to head. In their 36 meetings so far, KV Mechelen have 9 wins, Genk have 19 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 41–62.
What to expect
Genk should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 36; KV Mechelen 9 wins, 8 draws, Genk 19 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: KV Mechelen 9–17, Genk 18–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
KV Mechelen are missing: no absences. Genk are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.92 | 3.78 | 1.97 |
| Market average | 3.61 | 3.64 | 1.92 |
| Lowest odds | 3.20 | 3.22 | 1.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.19 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.64 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:25. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: KV Mechelen 1–1 Genk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: KV Mechelen 14th (9 points), Genk 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: KV Mechelen 1W 3D 4L (9:17), Genk 4W 3D 2L (18:13).
- H2H: 36 matches: KV Mechelen 9W 8D 19L, goals 41–62.
- Absences: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
KV Mechelen vs Genk: who is missing
KV Mechelen
- No reported absences
Genk
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
KV Mechelen
Home and away
KV Mechelen vs Genk: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
KV MechelenWWDLLGenkLWWLDKV Mechelen vs Genk: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
KV Mechelen vs Genk: questions and answers
What is the best tip for KV Mechelen vs Genk?
Our result tip is Genk to win (odds 1.97), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Draw or Genk (X2).
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
Our probabilities: KV Mechelen to win 26%, a draw 26%, Genk to win 49%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne, Mechelen. Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
KV Mechelen: no absences. Genk: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.29).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–2 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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