Torreense v Ararat-Armenia is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria). We think Torreense (53%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.82 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.76 | 3.71 | 4.44 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.20 | 3.92 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.32 | 71.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 2.01 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.81 | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.70 | 3.54 | 26.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.84 | 50.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Torreense 1–0 Ararat-Armenia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torreense 28th (3 points), Ararat-Armenia 36th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: Torreense 1W 0D 2L (4:7), Ararat-Armenia 1W 1D 3L (4:12).
- Absences: Torreense 1, Ararat-Armenia 1.
Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: who is missing
Torreense
- A. Baradjiinjury · will miss the match
Ararat-Armenia
- P. Ayongonot in the squad · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Torreense
Home and away
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Torreense are 28th with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Ararat-Armenia are 36th with 0 points (0W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Torreense have scored 1.3 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Ararat-Armenia average 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Torreense: 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–7; Ararat-Armenia: 1W 1D 3L, goals 4–12.
What to expect
Torreense should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Torreense 4–7, Ararat-Armenia 4–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: Torreense 1, Ararat-Armenia 1.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Torreense are missing: A. Baradji. Ararat-Armenia are without: P. Ayongo. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our result tip is Torreense to win (odds 1.82), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.85). The safer pick is Torreense or draw (1X).
Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our probabilities: Torreense to win 53%, a draw 25%, Ararat-Armenia to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria.
Who will be missing?
Torreense: A. Baradji. Ararat-Armenia: P. Ayongo. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.04); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.3%); after that come 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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