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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Torreense1.82
XDraw4.00
2Ararat-Armenia4.75

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:31

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Torreense v Ararat-Armenia is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria). We think Torreense (53%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: tip and prediction
Result
Torreense to win
1.82
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.85
Combo
Torreense plus over 2.5 goals
3.18
31% · combo fair price
53%chance of the result
53%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Torreense or draw (1X) – 79% probability, top odds 1.23.

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Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.824.004.75
Market average1.763.714.44
Lowest odds1.703.203.92
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3271.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.042.0147.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.851.8152.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.703.5426.5%
BTTS – yes1.951.9049.2%
BTTS – no1.871.8450.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Torreense 1–0 Ararat-Armenia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Torreense 28th (3 points), Ararat-Armenia 36th (0 points).
  • Form in the competition: Torreense 1W 0D 2L (4:7), Ararat-Armenia 1W 1D 3L (4:12).
  • Absences: Torreense 1, Ararat-Armenia 1.

Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Torreense53%
Draw25%
Ararat-Armenia21%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: more markets and betting tips

Torreense or draw (1X)78.8% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.23
Likely
Under 3.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.31
Likely
Over 1.5 goals71.5% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.34
Likely
Torreense to win53.4% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.82
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: no50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.87
Possible
Both sides to score: yes49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.04
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.5% · fair odds 3.77 · best 3.70
Outsider
Draw25.4% · fair odds 3.93 · best 4.00
Outsider
Ararat-Armenia to win21.2% · fair odds 4.71 · best 4.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 012.3%
1 : 111.6%
2 : 010.1%
2 : 19.6%
0 : 07.4%
0 : 17.1%

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: who is missing

Torreense

  • A. Baradjiinjury · will miss the match

Ararat-Armenia

  • P. Ayongonot in the squad · will miss the match

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Torreense

22 OctLFerencvárosi TC 4–1 Torreense
15 OctLTorreense 1–2 Sunderland
17 SeptWLillestrøm 1–2 Torreense

Ararat-Armenia

22 OctLArarat-Armenia 0–4 AZ Alkmaar
15 OctLJagiellonia 3–1 Ararat-Armenia
16 SeptLArarat-Armenia 1–4 Sparta Praha
27 AugWArarat-Armenia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova
20 AugDUniversitatea Craiova 1–1 Ararat-Armenia

Home and away

Torreense at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2
Ararat-Armenia away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–3

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Torreense are 28th with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Ararat-Armenia are 36th with 0 points (0W 0D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Torreense have scored 1.3 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Ararat-Armenia average 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Torreense: 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–7; Ararat-Armenia: 1W 1D 3L, goals 4–12.

What to expect

Torreense should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Torreense 4–7, Ararat-Armenia 4–12.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
  3. Absent: Torreense 1, Ararat-Armenia 1.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Torreense are missing: A. Baradji. Ararat-Armenia are without: P. Ayongo. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: team stats compared

TorreenseArarat-Armenia
43%Form57%
50%Attack50%
63%Defence37%
49.8%Overall50.3%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

TorreenseLLW
Ararat-ArmeniaLLL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.5%

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our result tip is Torreense to win (odds 1.82), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.85). The safer pick is Torreense or draw (1X).

Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our probabilities: Torreense to win 53%, a draw 25%, Ararat-Armenia to win 21%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria.

Who will be missing?

Torreense: A. Baradji. Ararat-Armenia: P. Ayongo. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.04); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.85).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.95).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.3%); after that come 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.