Thionville Lusitanos v Cannes is on 7 November 2026 · 13:45 at Stadium Plaine (Thionville). We think Cannes (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.18 | 3.62 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 3.98 | 3.45 | 1.79 |
| Lowest odds | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.74 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.83 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.11 | 3.01 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.74 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Cannes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Thionville Lusitanos 12th (13 points), Cannes 5th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Thionville Lusitanos 3W 4D 4L (16:17), Cannes 4W 6D 1L (14:7).
- Absences: Thionville Lusitanos 0, Cannes 0.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: who is missing
Thionville Lusitanos
- No reported absences
Cannes
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Thionville Lusitanos
Home and away
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Thionville Lusitanos are 12th with 13 points after 11 matches (3W 4D 4L), whereas Cannes are 5th with 18 points (4W 6D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Thionville Lusitanos have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Cannes average 1.3 scored and 0.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Thionville Lusitanos: 3W 4D 4L, goals 16–17; Cannes: 4W 6D 1L, goals 14–7.
What to expect
Cannes should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Thionville Lusitanos 16–17, Cannes 14–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Thionville Lusitanos 0, Cannes 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Thionville Lusitanos are missing: no absences. Cannes are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
Our result tip is Cannes to win (odds 1.85), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.83). The safer pick is Draw or Cannes (X2).
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?
Our probabilities: Thionville Lusitanos to win 23%, a draw 26%, Cannes to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stadium Plaine, Thionville.
Who will be missing?
Thionville Lusitanos: no absences. Cannes: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–2 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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