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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 12 · 7 November 2026 · 13:45

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Ligue 3

1Thionville Lusitanos4.18
XDraw3.62
2Cannes1.85

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:30

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Thionville Lusitanos v Cannes is on 7 November 2026 · 13:45 at Stadium Plaine (Thionville). We think Cannes (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: tip and prediction
Result
Cannes to win
1.85
Goals
Both teams to score
1.83
Combo
Cannes plus over 2.5 goals
3.21
31% · combo fair price
51%chance of the result
53%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Cannes (X2) – 77% probability, top odds 1.22.

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Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds4.183.621.85
Market average3.983.451.79
Lowest odds3.803.301.74
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2573.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8351.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.9049.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.113.0130.6%
BTTS – yes1.831.7452.9%
BTTS – no2.001.9547.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Cannes, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Thionville Lusitanos 12th (13 points), Cannes 5th (18 points).
  • Form in the competition: Thionville Lusitanos 3W 4D 4L (16:17), Cannes 4W 6D 1L (14:7).
  • Absences: Thionville Lusitanos 0, Cannes 0.

Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

Thionville Lusitanos23%
Draw26%
Cannes51%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Cannes (X2)77.2% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.7% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.36
Likely
Both sides to score: yes52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Cannes to win50.9% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.85
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Both sides to score: no47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.11
Outsider
Draw26.3% · fair odds 3.80 · best 3.62
Outsider
Thionville Lusitanos to win22.8% · fair odds 4.39 · best 4.18
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
0 : 111.1%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 29.1%
1 : 07.1%
0 : 06.7%

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: who is missing

Thionville Lusitanos

  • No reported absences

Cannes

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Thionville Lusitanos

29 OctDAmiens 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos
17 OctLThionville Lusitanos 1–2 Versailles
3 OctLLe Puy Foot 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos
26 SeptLThionville Lusitanos 1–2 La Roche VF
19 SeptDFleury 91 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos

Cannes

31 OctWCannes 2–1 Valenciennes
17 OctLVillefranche 2–1 Cannes
3 OctWCannes 3–1 Quevilly
26 SeptDOrléans 0–0 Cannes
17 SeptDBastia 1–1 Cannes

Home and away

Thionville Lusitanos at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 7–12
Cannes away6 matches: 1W 4D 1L, goals 6–4

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Thionville Lusitanos are 12th with 13 points after 11 matches (3W 4D 4L), whereas Cannes are 5th with 18 points (4W 6D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Thionville Lusitanos have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Cannes average 1.3 scored and 0.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Thionville Lusitanos: 3W 4D 4L, goals 16–17; Cannes: 4W 6D 1L, goals 14–7.

What to expect

Cannes should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Thionville Lusitanos 16–17, Cannes 14–7.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
  3. Absent: Thionville Lusitanos 0, Cannes 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Thionville Lusitanos are missing: no absences. Cannes are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: team stats compared

Thionville LusitanosCannes
20%Form80%
36%Attack64%
42%Defence58%
30.3%Overall69.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Thionville LusitanosDLLLD
CannesWLWDD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.2%

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

Our result tip is Cannes to win (odds 1.85), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.83). The safer pick is Draw or Cannes (X2).

Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

Our probabilities: Thionville Lusitanos to win 23%, a draw 26%, Cannes to win 51%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stadium Plaine, Thionville.

Who will be missing?

Thionville Lusitanos: no absences. Cannes: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.83).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–2 (9.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 NovCaen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovConcarneau vs Fleury 91 7 NovVillefranche vs Quevilly 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.