Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli is on 23 October 2026 · 17:30 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor (Darmstadt); Timo Gansloweit, Germany takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, SV Darmstadt 98 are 16th with 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L), whereas FC St. Pauli are 8th with 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 68%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
SV Darmstadt 98 are missing: no absences. FC St. Pauli are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.06 | 3.58 | 2.34 |
| Market average | 2.96 | 3.42 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.22 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.77 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.02 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.89 | 32.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 14:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 FC St. Pauli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SV Darmstadt 98 16th (9 points), FC St. Pauli 8th (12 points).
- Absences: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: who is missing
SV Darmstadt 98
- No reported absences
FC St. Pauli
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
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SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: questions and answers
What is the best tip for SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
Our result tip is Draw or FC St. Pauli (X2) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or FC St. Pauli (X2).
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
Our probabilities: SV Darmstadt 98 to win 32%, a draw 27%, FC St. Pauli to win 41%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt. Referee: Timo Gansloweit, Germany.
Who will be missing?
SV Darmstadt 98: no absences. FC St. Pauli: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.82); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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