Bet with MINO CASINO →Dynamo Dresden are at home to SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 6 November 2026 · 17:30 at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden). Our favourites are Dynamo Dresden (50%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.93 | 3.94 | 3.83 |
| Market average | 1.86 | 3.77 | 3.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.81 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.35 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.37 | 39.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 61.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.42 | 2.39 | 38.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dynamo Dresden 18th (8 points), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Dynamo Dresden 2W 2D 6L (12:20), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 3D 4L (13:16).
- H2H: 14 matches: Dynamo Dresden 3W 4D 7L, goals 12–18.
- Absences: Dynamo Dresden 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: who is missing
Dynamo Dresden
- No reported absences
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dynamo Dresden
Home and away
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Dynamo Dresden are 18th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 9th with 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Dynamo Dresden have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; SpVgg Greuther Fürth average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Dynamo Dresden: 2W 2D 6L, goals 12–20; SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 3W 3D 4L, goals 13–16.
- Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Dynamo Dresden have 3 wins, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 7 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 12–18.
What to expect
Dynamo Dresden should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the SpVgg Greuther Fürth are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 14; Dynamo Dresden 3 wins, 4 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Dynamo Dresden 12–20, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 13–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Dynamo Dresden 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Dynamo Dresden are missing: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Dynamo DresdenLLWDLSpVgg Greuther FürthWLWLDDynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: head to head
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Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our result tip is Dynamo Dresden to win (odds 1.93), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Dynamo Dresden or draw (1X).
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our probabilities: Dynamo Dresden to win 50%, a draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden.
Who will be missing?
Dynamo Dresden: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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