Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
St Patrick's Athl. v Bohemians is on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Richmond Park (Dublin); R. Hennessy takes charge. We think St Patrick's Athl. (47%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points after 36 matches (17W 9D 10L), whereas Bohemians are 2nd with 65 points (19W 8D 9L).
- Attack and defence. St Patrick's Athl. have scored 1.5 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Bohemians average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. St Patrick's Athl.: 17W 9D 9L, goals 53–28; Bohemians: 18W 8D 9L, goals 60–42.
- Head to head. In their 35 meetings so far, St Patrick's Athl. have 12 wins, Bohemians have 11 wins and 12 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 46–40.
What to expect
St Patrick's Athl. should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Bohemians are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 35; St Patrick's Athl. 12 wins, 12 draws, Bohemians 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: St Patrick's Athl. 53–28, Bohemians 60–42.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: St Patrick's Athl. 0, Bohemians 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
St Patrick's Athl. are missing: no absences. Bohemians are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.02 | 3.58 | 3.87 |
| Market average | 1.95 | 3.44 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.13 | 3.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.86 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.91 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.13 | 29.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.71 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.04 | 45.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Bohemians, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: St Patrick's Athl. 3rd (60 points), Bohemians 2nd (65 points).
- Form in the competition: St Patrick's Athl. 17W 9D 9L (53:28), Bohemians 18W 8D 9L (60:42).
- H2H: 35 matches: St Patrick's Athl. 12W 12D 11L, goals 46–40.
- Absences: St Patrick's Athl. 0, Bohemians 0.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: who is missing
St Patrick's Athl.
- No reported absences
Bohemians
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
St Patrick's Athl.
Home and away
St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
St Patrick's Athl.LDLLWBohemiansWLWLWSt Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: questions and answers
What is the best tip for St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?
St Patrick's Athl. -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?
Our probabilities: St Patrick's Athl. to win 47%, a draw 27%, Bohemians to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Richmond Park, Dublin. Referee: R. Hennessy.
Who will be missing?
St Patrick's Athl.: no absences. Bohemians: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.93); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.0%); after that come 1–0 (11.0%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.