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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 35 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: tip, odds and prediction – 23 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

0–1
1Bohemians1.65
XDraw4.11
2Shelbourne5.11

Best available odds · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bohemians are at home to Shelbourne on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Dalymount Park (Dublin), with R. Harvey as the referee. Our favourites are Bohemians (57%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: tip and prediction
Result
Bohemians to win
1.65
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Bohemians plus over 2.5 goals
2.64
38% · combo fair price
57%chance of the result
65%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bohemians or draw (1X) – 81% probability, top odds 1.19.

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Bohemians vs Shelbourne: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Bohemians are 2nd with 65 points after 36 matches (19W 8D 9L), whereas Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points (12W 13D 11L).
  2. Head to head. In their 28 meetings so far, Bohemians have 10 wins, Shelbourne have 7 wins and 11 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 38–31.

What to expect

Bohemians should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 28; Bohemians 10 wins, 11 draws, Shelbourne 7 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
  4. Absent: Bohemians 0, Shelbourne 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Bohemians are missing: no absences. Shelbourne are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.654.115.11
Market average1.623.964.80
Lowest odds1.603.804.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2077.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.701.6756.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.222.1244.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6634.8%
BTTS – yes1.701.6855.2%
BTTS – no2.102.0644.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bohemians 1–1 Shelbourne, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bohemians 2nd (65 points), Shelbourne 4th (49 points).
  • H2H: 28 matches: Bohemians 10W 11D 7L, goals 38–31.
  • Absences: Bohemians 0, Shelbourne 0.

Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians57%
Draw23%
Shelbourne19%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: more markets and betting tips

Bohemians or draw (1X)80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 1.5 goals77.2% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Bohemians to win57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals56.0% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: yes55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: no44.8% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals44.0% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.22
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw23.4% · fair odds 4.27 · best 4.11
Outsider
Shelbourne to win19.3% · fair odds 5.17 · best 5.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.4%
1 : 09.9%
2 : 19.9%
2 : 09.4%
3 : 16.3%
3 : 06.0%

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: who is missing

Bohemians

  • No reported absences

Shelbourne

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Bohemians

30 OctWSt Patrick's Athl. 2–3 Bohemians
23 OctLBohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
16 OctWBohemians 2–1 Waterford
12 OctLShamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
2 OctWDundalk 1–2 Bohemians

Shelbourne

30 OctLShelbourne 2–3 Waterford
23 OctWBohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
16 OctWSt Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shelbourne
9 OctWShelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers
25 SeptDGalway United 1–1 Shelbourne

Home and away

Bohemians at home18 matches: 8W 6D 4L, goals 29–21
Shelbourne away18 matches: 8W 8D 2L, goals 25–19

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: head to head

All matches
10Bohemians
11Draws
7Shelbourne
23/10/26 · Bohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
22/6/26 · Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians
4/5/26 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
16/3/26 · Shelbourne 0–0 Bohemians
24/1/26 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
26/10/25 · Bohemians 2–3 Shelbourne

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Our result tip is Bohemians to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48). The safer pick is Bohemians or draw (1X).

Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Our probabilities: Bohemians to win 57%, a draw 23%, Shelbourne to win 19%.

What time and where is kick-off?

23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Dalymount Park, Dublin. Referee: R. Harvey.

Who will be missing?

Bohemians: no absences. Shelbourne: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.22).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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