Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth meet Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026 · 12:30 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth), refereed by Lars Erbst. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.60 | 3.77 | 2.66 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.63 | 2.52 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.39 | 2.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 60.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.38 | 39.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Holstein Kiel, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points), Holstein Kiel 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2W 3D 4L (12:16), Holstein Kiel 1W 5D 3L (10:11).
- H2H: 15 matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6W 4D 5L, goals 22–22.
- Absences: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, Holstein Kiel 0.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: who is missing
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- No reported absences
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home and away
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 9th with 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L), whereas Holstein Kiel are 17th with 8 points (1W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Holstein Kiel average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 2W 3D 4L, goals 12–16; Holstein Kiel: 1W 5D 3L, goals 10–11.
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, Holstein Kiel have 5 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–22.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 wins, 4 draws, Holstein Kiel 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 12–16, Holstein Kiel 10–11.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, Holstein Kiel 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are missing: no absences. Holstein Kiel are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SpVgg Greuther FürthWLWLDHolstein KielLWDLDSpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: head to head
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: questions and answers
What is the best tip for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
Our result tip is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (1X) (odds 1.55), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (1X).
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
Our probabilities: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win 37%, a draw 26%, Holstein Kiel to win 37%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth. Referee: Lars Erbst.
Who will be missing?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Holstein Kiel: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.61); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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