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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 9 · 25 October 2026 · 12:30

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: tip, odds and prediction – 25 October 2026, 2. Bundesliga

1VfL Osnabrück2.18
XDraw3.70
2SpVgg Greuther Fürth3.31

Best available odds · Updated 25/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

VfL Osnabrück meet SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Stadion an der Bremer Brücke (Osnabruck), refereed by Justin Joel Hasmann. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
VfL Osnabrück or draw (1X)
1.37
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
70%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, VfL Osnabrück are 10th with 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), whereas SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 9th with 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
  2. Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, VfL Osnabrück have 3 wins, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–6.

What to expect

VfL Osnabrück should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 7; VfL Osnabrück 3 wins, 2 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  4. Absent: VfL Osnabrück 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

VfL Osnabrück are missing: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.183.703.31
Market average2.123.603.15
Lowest odds2.083.403.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1779.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6158.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.312.2541.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.4637.8%
BTTS – yes1.531.5061.7%
BTTS – no2.552.4238.3%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: VfL Osnabrück 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: VfL Osnabrück 10th (11 points), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points).
  • H2H: 7 matches: VfL Osnabrück 3W 2D 2L, goals 8–6.
  • Absences: VfL Osnabrück 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

VfL Osnabrück44%
Draw26%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth30%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
VfL Osnabrück or draw (1X)70.2% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.37
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.53
Likely
Both sides to score: yes61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.67
Possible
VfL Osnabrück to win44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.18
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.31
Outsider
Both sides to score: no38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.55
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.8% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.62
Outsider
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win29.8% · fair odds 3.36 · best 3.31
Outsider
Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.06 · Under 1.69
probability of over 45.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.1%
2 : 19.1%
1 : 08.2%
1 : 27.5%
2 : 06.8%
0 : 16.7%

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: who is missing

VfL Osnabrück

  • No reported absences

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Hertha BSC109-1-023:828
21. FC Nürnberg106-3-124:1321
3VfL Wolfsburg105-4-125:1419
41. FC Kaiserslautern105-3-29:718
51. FC Magdeburg105-2-321:1317
61. FC Heidenheim104-3-317:1815
7Arminia Bielefeld104-2-416:1514
8FC St. Pauli102-6-212:1212
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth103-3-413:1612
10VfL Osnabrück103-2-514:1711
11VfL Bochum103-2-58:1111
12Hannover 96103-2-510:1611
13Karlsruher SC103-2-513:2111
14Energie Cottbus102-4-418:2010
15Eintracht Braunschweig103-1-616:1810
16SV Darmstadt 98102-3-59:199
17Holstein Kiel101-5-410:128
18Dynamo Dresden102-2-612:208

Recent matches

VfL Osnabrück

31 OctLVfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfL Osnabrück
25 OctWVfL Osnabrück 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
18 OctLArminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück
10 OctDVfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden
19 SeptDHolstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1 NovWSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–0 Holstein Kiel
25 OctLVfL Osnabrück 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
17 OctWSpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig
11 OctLHertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
18 SeptDSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg

Home and away

VfL Osnabrück at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 8–8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth away5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 7–10

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: head to head

All matches
3VfL Osnabrück
2Draws
2SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25/10/26 · VfL Osnabrück 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
7/4/24 · VfL Osnabruck 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth
27/10/23 · SpVgg Greuther Furth 4–0 VfL Osnabruck
26/1/21 · VfL Osnabruck 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
20/9/20 · SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–1 VfL Osnabruck
26/5/20 · SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–2 VfL Osnabruck

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: questions and answers

What is the best tip for VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our result tip is VfL Osnabrück or draw (1X) (odds 1.37), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is VfL Osnabrück or draw (1X).

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our probabilities: VfL Osnabrück to win 44%, a draw 26%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win 30%.

What time and where is kick-off?

25 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Stadion an der Bremer Brücke, Osnabruck. Referee: Justin Joel Hasmann.

Who will be missing?

VfL Osnabrück: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.31).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 NovEintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus 6 Nov1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 7 NovHolstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld 7 NovVfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.