Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel meet Dynamo Dresden on 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel), refereed by Timo Gerach. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Holstein Kiel are 17th with 8 points after 10 matches (1W 5D 4L), whereas Dynamo Dresden are 18th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Holstein Kiel have 11 wins, Dynamo Dresden have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 28–8.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Holstein Kiel 11 wins, 2 draws, Dynamo Dresden 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Holstein Kiel 0, Dynamo Dresden 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Holstein Kiel are missing: no absences. Dynamo Dresden are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.35 | 3.84 | 2.96 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.67 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.35 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.38 | 39.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 62.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.50 | 37.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–1 Dynamo Dresden, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Holstein Kiel 17th (8 points), Dynamo Dresden 18th (8 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Holstein Kiel 11W 2D 2L, goals 28–8.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, Dynamo Dresden 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: who is missing
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
Dynamo Dresden
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Holstein Kiel
Home and away
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
Under 3.5 goals (1.60); Holstein Kiel or draw (1X) (1.45).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our probabilities: Holstein Kiel to win 42%, a draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden to win 33%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. Referee: Timo Gerach.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. Dynamo Dresden: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.61); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.