Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rodez are at home to Dunkerque on 30 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez), with Eddy Rosier as the referee. Our favourites are Rodez (47%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rodez are 11th with 13 points after 11 matches (4W 1D 6L), whereas Dunkerque are 12th with 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Rodez have scored 1.6 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Dunkerque average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rodez: 3W 1D 6L, goals 16–22; Dunkerque: 3W 3D 4L, goals 14–16.
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Rodez have 7 wins, Dunkerque have 2 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–13.
What to expect
Rodez should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Rodez 7 wins, 6 draws, Dunkerque 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rodez 16–22, Dunkerque 14–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Rodez 0, Dunkerque 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.52). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rodez are missing: no absences. Dunkerque are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.06 | 3.80 | 3.61 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.63 | 3.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.24 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.53 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.52 | 1.49 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rodez 1–1 Dunkerque, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rodez 11th (13 points), Dunkerque 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Rodez 3W 1D 6L (16:22), Dunkerque 3W 3D 4L (14:16).
- H2H: 15 matches: Rodez 7W 6D 2L, goals 23–13.
- Absences: Rodez 0, Dunkerque 0.
Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rodez vs Dunkerque: who is missing
Rodez
- No reported absences
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 | Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Rodez
Home and away
Rodez vs Dunkerque: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RodezWWLLLDunkerqueLDWLLRodez vs Dunkerque: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rodez vs Dunkerque: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rodez vs Dunkerque?
Rodez -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.52).
Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?
Our probabilities: Rodez to win 47%, a draw 25%, Dunkerque to win 28%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez. Referee: Eddy Rosier.
Who will be missing?
Rodez: no absences. Dunkerque: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.52).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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