Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rodez v Montpellier is on 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez); Geoffrey Kubler takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Rodez vs Montpellier: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rodez are 11th with 13 points after 11 matches (4W 1D 6L), whereas Montpellier are 2nd with 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
What to expect
Montpellier should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rodez are missing: no absences. Montpellier are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rodez vs Montpellier: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.24 |
| Market average | 3.07 | 3.57 | 2.11 |
| Lowest odds | 2.66 | 3.24 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.43 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.56 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 19/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rodez 1–1 Montpellier, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rodez 11th (13 points), Montpellier 2nd (24 points).
- Absences: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rodez vs Montpellier: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Rodez vs Montpellier: who is missing
Rodez
- No reported absences
Montpellier
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rodez vs Montpellier: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 | Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
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Rodez vs Montpellier: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rodez vs Montpellier?
Montpellier -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.99); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
Our probabilities: Rodez to win 30%, a draw 26%, Montpellier to win 44%.
What time and where is kick-off?
19 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez. Referee: Geoffrey Kubler.
Who will be missing?
Rodez: no absences. Montpellier: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 1–2 (9.1%) and 0–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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