Bet with MINO CASINO →Montpellier meet Metz on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier). Montpellier (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Montpellier vs Metz: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.05 | 3.60 | 4.01 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.38 | 3.72 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.16 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.20 | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.11 | 44.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.63 | 35.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.34 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Montpellier 1–1 Metz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Montpellier 2nd (24 points), Metz 10th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Montpellier 7W 3D 1L (16:6), Metz 3W 5D 3L (17:17).
- H2H: 17 matches: Montpellier 7W 5D 5L, goals 25–19.
- Absences: Montpellier 0, Metz 0.
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Montpellier vs Metz: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Montpellier vs Metz: who is missing
Montpellier
- No reported absences
Metz
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Montpellier vs Metz: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Montpellier
Home and away
Montpellier vs Metz: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Montpellier are 2nd with 24 points after 11 matches (7W 3D 1L), whereas Metz are 10th with 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Montpellier have scored 1.5 and conceded 0.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Metz average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Montpellier: 7W 3D 1L, goals 16–6; Metz: 3W 5D 3L, goals 17–17.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Montpellier have 7 wins, Metz have 5 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–19.
What to expect
Montpellier should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Montpellier 7 wins, 5 draws, Metz 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Montpellier 16–6, Metz 17–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Montpellier 0, Metz 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Montpellier are missing: no absences. Metz are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Montpellier vs Metz: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
MontpellierWWWWDMetzLDWLDMontpellier vs Metz: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Montpellier vs Metz: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Montpellier vs Metz?
Our result tip is Montpellier to win (odds 2.05), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Montpellier or draw (1X).
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
Our probabilities: Montpellier to win 47%, a draw 28%, Metz to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier.
Who will be missing?
Montpellier: no absences. Metz: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 1–0 (9.5%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.