Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dunkerque are at home to Metz on 23 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkirk), with Mickaël Leleu, France as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Dunkerque vs Metz: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.83 | 3.63 | 2.46 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.55 | 2.31 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.62 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.24 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.52 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 17:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Dunkerque 1–1 Metz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dunkerque 12th (12 points), Metz 10th (14 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Dunkerque 0W 1D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Absences: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Dunkerque vs Metz: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Dunkerque vs Metz: who is missing
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Metz
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Dunkerque vs Metz: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dunkerque
Home and away
Dunkerque vs Metz: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Dunkerque are 12th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas Metz are 10th with 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Dunkerque have 0 wins, Metz have 4 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–11.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Dunkerque 0 wins, 1 draw, Metz 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Dunkerque are missing: no absences. Metz are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Dunkerque vs Metz: head to head
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Dunkerque vs Metz: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Dunkerque vs Metz?
Our result tip is Draw or Metz (X2) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Metz (X2).
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
Our probabilities: Dunkerque to win 33%, a draw 26%, Metz to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk. Referee: Mickaël Leleu, France.
Who will be missing?
Dunkerque: no absences. Metz: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 1–2 (8.8%) and 0–1 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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