Bet with MINO CASINO →PAU v Nantes is on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Nouste Camp (Pau). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
PAU vs Nantes: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, PAU are 5th with 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L), whereas Nantes are 15th with 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. PAU have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Nantes average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PAU: 6W 2D 3L, goals 16–11; Nantes: 2W 3D 6L, goals 12–18.
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, PAU have 0 wins, Nantes have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–4.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the PAU are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; PAU 0 wins, 0 draws, Nantes 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 5.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: PAU 16–11, Nantes 12–18.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: PAU 0, Nantes 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
PAU are missing: no absences. Nantes are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
PAU vs Nantes: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.39 |
| Market average | 2.97 | 3.29 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.05 | 30.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.11 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: PAU 1–1 Nantes, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: PAU 5th (20 points), Nantes 15th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: PAU 6W 2D 3L (16:11), Nantes 2W 3D 6L (12:18).
- H2H: 1 match: PAU 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: PAU 0, Nantes 0.
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
PAU vs Nantes: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
PAU vs Nantes: who is missing
PAU
- No reported absences
Nantes
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
PAU vs Nantes: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 | PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
PAU
Home and away
PAU vs Nantes: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PAUWWWWWNantesDLLDWPAU vs Nantes: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
PAU vs Nantes: questions and answers
What is the best tip for PAU vs Nantes?
Our result tip is Draw or Nantes (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Draw or Nantes (X2).
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
Our probabilities: PAU to win 31%, a draw 28%, Nantes to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Nouste Camp, Pau.
Who will be missing?
PAU: no absences. Nantes: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.93); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.