Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne are at home to Nantes on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne), with Gaël Angoula, France as the referee. Our favourites are Saint-Étienne (55%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.96 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.81 | 4.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 32.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Saint-Étienne 1–1 Nantes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points), Nantes 15th (9 points).
- H2H: 21 matches: Saint-Étienne 8W 10D 3L, goals 29–18.
- Absences: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: who is missing
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Nantes
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Saint-Étienne
Home and away
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Saint-Étienne are 1st with 25 points after 11 matches (8W 1D 2L), whereas Nantes are 15th with 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Saint-Étienne have 8 wins, Nantes have 3 wins and 10 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–18.
What to expect
Saint-Étienne should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Saint-Étienne 8 wins, 10 draws, Nantes 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Saint-Étienne are missing: no absences. Nantes are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: head to head
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Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
Our result tip is Saint-Étienne to win (odds 1.75), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Saint-Étienne or draw (1X).
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
Our probabilities: Saint-Étienne to win 55%, a draw 25%, Nantes to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne. Referee: Gaël Angoula, France.
Who will be missing?
Saint-Étienne: no absences. Nantes: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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