Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PAU meet Grenoble on 23 October 2026 · 19:00 at Nouste Camp (Pau), refereed by Gabriel Henry, France. PAU (50%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
PAU vs Grenoble: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.61 |
| Market average | 1.87 | 3.38 | 4.16 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.33 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.68 | 25.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.87 | 49.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 17:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: PAU 1–0 Grenoble, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: PAU 5th (20 points), Grenoble 18th (8 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: PAU 5W 8D 4L, goals 18–20.
- Absences: PAU 0, Grenoble 0.
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
PAU vs Grenoble: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
PAU vs Grenoble: who is missing
PAU
- No reported absences
Grenoble
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
PAU vs Grenoble: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 | PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
PAU
Home and away
PAU vs Grenoble: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, PAU are 5th with 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L), whereas Grenoble are 18th with 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, PAU have 5 wins, Grenoble have 4 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 18–20.
What to expect
PAU should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; PAU 5 wins, 8 draws, Grenoble 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: PAU 0, Grenoble 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.86). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
PAU are missing: no absences. Grenoble are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
PAU vs Grenoble: head to head
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PAU vs Grenoble: questions and answers
What is the best tip for PAU vs Grenoble?
Our result tip is PAU to win (odds 1.93), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76). The safer pick is PAU or draw (1X).
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
Our probabilities: PAU to win 50%, a draw 28%, Grenoble to win 22%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Nouste Camp, Pau. Referee: Gabriel Henry, France.
Who will be missing?
PAU: no absences. Grenoble: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.16); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.9%); after that come 1–1 (12.3%) and 2–0 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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