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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 14:00

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: tip, odds and prediction – 17 October 2026, Chance Liga

1–0
WDLDW
1Mladá Boleslav2.07
XDraw3.70
2Teplice3.43

Best available odds · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Mladá Boleslav are at home to Teplice on 17 October 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion UMT (Mladá Boleslav), with Adam Trska as the referee. Our favourites are Mladá Boleslav (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: tip and prediction
Result
Draw or Teplice (X2)
1.80
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
54%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Mladá Boleslav are 2nd with 24 points after 13 matches (7W 3D 3L), whereas Teplice are 6th with 21 points (6W 3D 4L).

What to expect

Mladá Boleslav should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  2. Absent: Mladá Boleslav 0, Teplice 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Mladá Boleslav are missing: no absences. Teplice are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.073.703.43
Market average2.033.593.24
Lowest odds1.983.403.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.6257.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.312.2242.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.5137.0%
BTTS – yes1.551.5360.4%
BTTS – no2.402.3439.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Mladá Boleslav 1–1 Teplice, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Mladá Boleslav 2nd (24 points), Teplice 6th (21 points).
  • Absences: Mladá Boleslav 0, Teplice 0.

Who will win Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice?

Mladá Boleslav46%
Draw26%
Teplice29%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.18
Likely
Mladá Boleslav or draw (1X)71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.0% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.52
Likely
Both sides to score: yes60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.8% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.62
Possible
Mladá Boleslav to win45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.07
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.2% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.31
Outsider
Both sides to score: no39.6% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.0% · fair odds 2.71 · best 2.57
Outsider
Teplice to win28.6% · fair odds 3.50 · best 3.43
Outsider
Draw25.8% · fair odds 3.87 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.0%
2 : 19.4%
1 : 08.5%
2 : 07.2%
1 : 27.2%
0 : 16.5%

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: who is missing

Mladá Boleslav

  • No reported absences

Teplice

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Mladá Boleslav

1 NovWMladá Boleslav 3–1 Hradec Králové
24 OctDSlavia Praha 1–1 Mladá Boleslav
17 OctWMladá Boleslav 1–0 Teplice
14 OctLBohemians 1905 1–0 Mladá Boleslav
10 OctLPlzeň 3–0 Mladá Boleslav

Teplice

31 OctWSlovácko 1–3 Teplice
24 OctDTeplice 0–0 Artis
17 OctLMladá Boleslav 1–0 Teplice
11 OctDTeplice 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
20 SeptWHradec Králové 0–2 Teplice

Home and away

Mladá Boleslav at home6 matches: 6W 0D 0L, goals 14–2
Teplice away6 matches: 4W 0D 2L, goals 10–7

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice?

Draw or Teplice (X2) (1.80); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).

Who will win Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice?

Our probabilities: Mladá Boleslav to win 46%, a draw 26%, Teplice to win 29%.

What time and where is kick-off?

17 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Městský stadion UMT, Mladá Boleslav. Referee: Adam Trska.

Who will be missing?

Mladá Boleslav: no absences. Teplice: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.31).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.55).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.0%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.