Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Puy Foot are at home to Caen on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.41 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.40 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.67 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.64 | 34.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.57 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Puy Foot 6th (17 points), Caen 4th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Puy Foot 5W 1D 4L (12:9), Caen 6W 0D 4L (19:13).
- H2H: 3 matches: Le Puy Foot 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
- Absences: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: who is missing
Le Puy Foot
- No reported absences
Caen
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Le Puy Foot
Home and away
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Le Puy Foot are 6th with 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), whereas Caen are 4th with 19 points (6W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Le Puy Foot have scored 1.2 and conceded 0.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Caen average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Puy Foot: 5W 1D 4L, goals 12–9; Caen: 6W 0D 4L, goals 19–13.
- Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, Le Puy Foot have 1 win, Caen have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–4.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 3; Le Puy Foot 1 win, 1 draw, Caen 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Le Puy Foot 12–9, Caen 19–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Le Puy Foot are missing: no absences. Caen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Our result tip is Le Puy Foot or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Le Puy Foot or draw (1X).
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Our probabilities: Le Puy Foot to win 41%, a draw 27%, Caen to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel.
Who will be missing?
Le Puy Foot: no absences. Caen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.16).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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