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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: tip, odds and prediction – 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

2–2
DWLWL
1Le Puy Foot2.41
XDraw3.55
2Caen3.10

Best available odds · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Le Puy Foot are at home to Caen on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Le Puy Foot or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
68%chance of the result
59%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Le Puy Foot vs Caen: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.413.553.10
Market average2.223.402.86
Lowest odds2.103.302.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2076.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6755.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.162.0844.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.762.6434.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.5758.7%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.3%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Le Puy Foot 6th (17 points), Caen 4th (19 points).
  • Form in the competition: Le Puy Foot 5W 1D 4L (12:9), Caen 6W 0D 4L (19:13).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Le Puy Foot 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
  • Absences: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.

Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?

Le Puy Foot41%
Draw27%
Caen32%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.22
Likely
Le Puy Foot or draw (1X)67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.1% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.5% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.71
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.5% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.16
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.30
Outsider
Le Puy Foot to win41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.41
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.9% · fair odds 2.86 · best 2.76
Outsider
Caen to win32.1% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.76
probability of over 47.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.5%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.4%
2 : 06.6%

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: who is missing

Le Puy Foot

  • No reported absences

Caen

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Le Puy Foot

31 OctDLe Puy Foot 2–2 Caen
17 OctWAubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot
3 OctWLe Puy Foot 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos
26 SeptLValenciennes 2–1 Le Puy Foot
19 SeptWLe Puy Foot 4–1 Villefranche

Caen

31 OctDLe Puy Foot 2–2 Caen
15 OctWCaen 2–1 La Roche VF
3 OctLFleury 91 3–2 Caen
24 SeptWCaen 3–2 Rouen
19 SeptLConcarneau 2–0 Caen

Home and away

Le Puy Foot at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 9–4
Caen away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 9–11

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Le Puy Foot are 6th with 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), whereas Caen are 4th with 19 points (6W 1D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Le Puy Foot have scored 1.2 and conceded 0.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Caen average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Le Puy Foot: 5W 1D 4L, goals 12–9; Caen: 6W 0D 4L, goals 19–13.
  4. Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, Le Puy Foot have 1 win, Caen have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–4.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 3; Le Puy Foot 1 win, 1 draw, Caen 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Le Puy Foot 12–9, Caen 19–13.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  5. Absent: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Le Puy Foot are missing: no absences. Caen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: team stats compared

Le Puy FootCaen
50%Form50%
47%Attack53%
62%Defence38%
50%Head to head50%
33%Goals67%
53.3%Overall46.7%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Le Puy FootDWWLW
CaenDWLWL

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: head to head

All matches
1Le Puy Foot
1Draws
1Caen
31/10/26 · Le Puy Foot 2–2 Caen
13/3/26 · Le Puy Foot 1–0 Caen
3/10/25 · Caen 2–0 Le Puy Foot

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin9.8%

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Le Puy Foot vs Caen?

Our result tip is Le Puy Foot or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Le Puy Foot or draw (1X).

Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?

Our probabilities: Le Puy Foot to win 41%, a draw 27%, Caen to win 32%.

What time and where is kick-off?

31 October 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel.

Who will be missing?

Le Puy Foot: no absences. Caen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.16).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 NovCaen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovConcarneau vs Fleury 91 7 NovVillefranche vs Quevilly 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.