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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: tip, odds and prediction – 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

1La Roche VF1.71
XDraw3.80
2Bourg-en-bresse 015.96

Best available odds · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

La Roche VF meet Bourg-en-bresse 01 on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Henri-Desgranges (La Roche-sur-Yon). La Roche VF (55%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: tip and prediction
Result
La Roche VF to win
1.71
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Combo
La Roche VF plus over 2.5 goals
2.93
34% · combo fair price
55%chance of the result
51%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: La Roche VF or draw (1X) – 80% probability, top odds 1.19.

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La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.713.805.96
Market average1.653.614.71
Lowest odds1.583.304.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2474.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8251.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9248.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.122.9930.8%
BTTS – yes1.911.8051.1%
BTTS – no1.951.8848.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: La Roche VF 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: La Roche VF 1st (24 points), Bourg-en-bresse 01 18th (5 points).
  • Form in the competition: La Roche VF 6W 3D 1L (16:10), Bourg-en-bresse 01 1W 2D 7L (5:16).
  • H2H: 1 match: La Roche VF 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0.
  • Absences: La Roche VF 0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.

Who will win La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

La Roche VF55%
Draw25%
Bourg-en-bresse 0120%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: more markets and betting tips

La Roche VF or draw (1X)80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.2% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.36
Likely
La Roche VF to win55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.71
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.86
Possible
Both sides to score: yes51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.91
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.9% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.97
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.8% · fair odds 3.25 · best 3.12
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.80
Outsider
Bourg-en-bresse 01 to win19.5% · fair odds 5.12 · best 5.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.06 · Under 1.69
probability of over 45.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 011.8%
1 : 111.2%
2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.8%
0 : 06.7%
0 : 16.4%

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: who is missing

La Roche VF

  • No reported absences

Bourg-en-bresse 01

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

La Roche VF

31 OctWLa Roche VF 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
15 OctLCaen 2–1 La Roche VF
3 OctWLa Roche VF 3–1 Aubagne
26 SeptWThionville Lusitanos 1–2 La Roche VF
19 SeptWLa Roche VF 3–2 Valenciennes

Bourg-en-bresse 01

31 OctLLa Roche VF 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
17 OctLBourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91
3 OctLRouen 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
26 SeptDBourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Concarneau
19 SeptDGobelins 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01

Home and away

La Roche VF at home6 matches: 4W 2D 0L, goals 13–7
Bourg-en-bresse 01 away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 1–9

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, La Roche VF are 1st with 24 points after 11 matches (7W 3D 1L), whereas Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th with 5 points (1W 2D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. La Roche VF have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Bourg-en-bresse 01 average 0.5 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. La Roche VF: 6W 3D 1L, goals 16–10; Bourg-en-bresse 01: 1W 2D 7L, goals 5–16.
  4. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, La Roche VF have 1 win, Bourg-en-bresse 01 have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–0.

What to expect

La Roche VF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; La Roche VF 1 win, 0 draws, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: La Roche VF 16–10, Bourg-en-bresse 01 5–16.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
  5. Absent: La Roche VF 0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

La Roche VF are missing: no absences. Bourg-en-bresse 01 are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: team stats compared

La Roche VFBourg-en-bresse 01
83%Form17%
82%Attack18%
50%Defence50%
76.3%Overall23.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

La Roche VFWLWWW
Bourg-en-bresse 01LLLDD

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: head to head

All matches
1La Roche VF
0Draws
0Bourg-en-bresse 01
31/10/26 · La Roche VF 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin9.7%

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: questions and answers

What is the best tip for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

Our result tip is La Roche VF to win (odds 1.71), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86). The safer pick is La Roche VF or draw (1X).

Who will win La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

Our probabilities: La Roche VF to win 55%, a draw 25%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 to win 20%.

What time and where is kick-off?

31 October 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon.

Who will be missing?

La Roche VF: no absences. Bourg-en-bresse 01: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.86); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.8%); after that come 1–1 (11.2%) and 2–0 (10.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 NovCaen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovConcarneau vs Fleury 91 7 NovVillefranche vs Quevilly 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.