Bet with MINO CASINO →Kalmar FF are at home to Sirius on 8 November 2026 · 15:30 at Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Kalmar FF vs Sirius: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Kalmar FF are 13th with 23 points after 27 matches (6W 5D 16L), whereas Sirius are 2nd with 55 points (17W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Kalmar FF have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Sirius average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Kalmar FF: 6W 5D 16L, goals 23–42; Sirius: 17W 4D 5L, goals 56–34.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Kalmar FF have 4 wins, Sirius have 7 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–30.
What to expect
Sirius should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Kalmar FF 4 wins, 7 draws, Sirius 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Kalmar FF 23–42, Sirius 56–34.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Kalmar FF 0, Sirius 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Kalmar FF are missing: no absences. Sirius are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Kalmar FF vs Sirius: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
| Market average | 3.05 | 3.59 | 2.12 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 76.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.71 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.07 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.71 | 34.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.60 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.22 | 41.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:02. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Kalmar FF 1–1 Sirius, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Kalmar FF 13th (23 points), Sirius 2nd (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Kalmar FF 6W 5D 16L (23:42), Sirius 17W 4D 5L (56:34).
- H2H: 18 matches: Kalmar FF 4W 7D 7L, goals 22–30.
- Absences: Kalmar FF 0, Sirius 0.
Who will win Kalmar FF vs Sirius?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Kalmar FF vs Sirius: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Kalmar FF vs Sirius: who is missing
Kalmar FF
- No reported absences
Sirius
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Kalmar FF vs Sirius: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Kalmar FF
Home and away
Kalmar FF vs Sirius: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Kalmar FFDLLWLSiriusLLDWWKalmar FF vs Sirius: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Kalmar FF vs Sirius: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Kalmar FF vs Sirius?
Kalmar FF or draw (1X) (1.73); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Kalmar FF vs Sirius?
Our probabilities: Kalmar FF to win 30%, a draw 26%, Sirius to win 44%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar.
Who will be missing?
Kalmar FF: no absences. Sirius: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.73); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 1–2 (9.2%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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