Bet with MINO CASINO →Gobelins are at home to La Roche VF on 7 November 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Charléty (Paris). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Gobelins vs La Roche VF: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Gobelins are 10th with 16 points after 11 matches (4W 4D 3L), whereas La Roche VF are 1st with 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Gobelins have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; La Roche VF average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Gobelins: 4W 4D 3L, goals 11–11; La Roche VF: 7W 3D 1L, goals 18–10.
- Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Gobelins have 1 win, La Roche VF have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–1.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 2; Gobelins 1 win, 0 draws, La Roche VF 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Gobelins 11–11, La Roche VF 18–10.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Gobelins 0, La Roche VF 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 2.00). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Gobelins are missing: no absences. La Roche VF are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Gobelins vs La Roche VF: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Market average | 2.80 | 3.12 | 2.39 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.33 | 69.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.70 | 54.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.50 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 50.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Gobelins 1–1 La Roche VF, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Gobelins 10th (16 points), La Roche VF 1st (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Gobelins 4W 4D 3L (11:11), La Roche VF 7W 3D 1L (18:10).
- H2H: 2 matches: Gobelins 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–1.
- Absences: Gobelins 0, La Roche VF 0.
Who will win Gobelins vs La Roche VF?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Gobelins vs La Roche VF: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Gobelins vs La Roche VF: who is missing
Gobelins
- No reported absences
La Roche VF
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Gobelins vs La Roche VF: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Gobelins
Home and away
Gobelins vs La Roche VF: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GobelinsDWLWDLa Roche VFWLWWWGobelins vs La Roche VF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Gobelins vs La Roche VF: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Gobelins vs La Roche VF?
La Roche VF +0 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.78).
Who will win Gobelins vs La Roche VF?
Our probabilities: Gobelins to win 33%, a draw 29%, La Roche VF to win 38%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Charléty, Paris.
Who will be missing?
Gobelins: no absences. La Roche VF: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.20); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 2.00).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.9%); after that come 0–1 (11.2%) and 1–0 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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