Bet with MINO CASINO →FK Jablonec v Mladá Boleslav is on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou). We think FK Jablonec (50%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FK Jablonec are 7th with 20 points after 13 matches (6W 2D 5L), whereas Mladá Boleslav are 2nd with 24 points (7W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. FK Jablonec have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Mladá Boleslav average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FK Jablonec: 6W 2D 5L, goals 16–18; Mladá Boleslav: 7W 3D 3L, goals 22–15.
- Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, FK Jablonec have 8 wins, Mladá Boleslav have 8 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–25.
What to expect
FK Jablonec should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Mladá Boleslav are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 19; FK Jablonec 8 wins, 3 draws, Mladá Boleslav 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FK Jablonec 16–18, Mladá Boleslav 22–15.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: FK Jablonec 0, Mladá Boleslav 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FK Jablonec are missing: no absences. Mladá Boleslav are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.88 | 3.72 | 3.85 |
| Market average | 1.85 | 3.66 | 3.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.81 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.66 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.16 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.62 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.22 | 41.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:55. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FK Jablonec 1–1 Mladá Boleslav, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FK Jablonec 7th (20 points), Mladá Boleslav 2nd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: FK Jablonec 6W 2D 5L (16:18), Mladá Boleslav 7W 3D 3L (22:15).
- H2H: 19 matches: FK Jablonec 8W 3D 8L, goals 26–25.
- Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Mladá Boleslav 0.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: who is missing
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
Mladá Boleslav
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
FK Jablonec
Home and away
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FK JablonecLWLWDMladá BoleslavWDWLLFK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav?
Over 2.5 goals (1.72); FK Jablonec to win (1.88).
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Mladá Boleslav?
Our probabilities: FK Jablonec to win 50%, a draw 25%, Mladá Boleslav to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou.
Who will be missing?
FK Jablonec: no absences. Mladá Boleslav: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.72); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.19).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.0%); after that come 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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